La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54cac7f85283206724c48fe710730eddfa7633df3eb99f368cb5157f3edfa5fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 12c | 3,227$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.85 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 1,882$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.98 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 9c | 1,563$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,388$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 9c | 1,388$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 33c | 1,304$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.36 | 68 | 79.4%54 W · 14 L | +14.7wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 20c | 1,163$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.9 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 1,036$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.53 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,026$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 49c | 1,013$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.32 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 50c | 977.64$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.82 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 28c | 671.35$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.38 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed No | 66c | 376.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.22 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 15c | 371.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 9c | 311.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes | 11c | 309.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked No | 66c | 304$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked Yes | 13c | 282.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Yes | 4c | 247.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 33c | 214.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Yes | 31c | 178.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 66c | 140.07$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed No | 69c | 140$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 29c | 136.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 23c | 109.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 11c | 109.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed No | 70c | 99.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed No | 76c | 98.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 26c | 94.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 69c | 94.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 32c | 82.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 20c | 80.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 80c | 80.44$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 20c | 73.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…a4d7backed Yes | 31c | 64.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 62.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 67c | 48.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 39c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 32c | 40.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed No | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b3…1b3ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ff…cf90backed No | 76c | 26.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…71a3backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed No | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb534…f7e7backed No | 77c | 15.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Huesca win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Real Racing Club vs. SD Huesca end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.