Mls · resolved market
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x332110b8321d8dc31e592e714eaa8be24a5edb9f09518be715fa682055f8e91c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 45c | 2,912$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.43 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 2,880$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.06 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 1,015$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.88 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Yes | 76c | 997.59$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 945.02$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.76 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 45c | 811$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 44c | 708.47$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.75 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 5c | 697.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 42c | 599.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.99 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…4a8bbacked Yes | 11c | 591.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +268.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 59c | 587.38$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.26 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 71c | 563.99$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.48 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…b6eabacked No | 40c | 521.86$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 58c | 514.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.63 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 64c | 479.61$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.86 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 51c | 459.68$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.67 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 16c | 437.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.81 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 62c | 428$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.87 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 32c | 399.12$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.05 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 45c | 329.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.96 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 21c | 299.85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.34 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 38c | 251.7$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.85 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 55c | 240$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 50c | 206.7$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 66c | 150.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 55c | 145.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed No | 51c | 124.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 44c | 110$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 55c | 109.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 101.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 49c | 97.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 58c | 96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 56c | 79.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 13c | 78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +170.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 32c | 77.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 31c | 74.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 64c | 71.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 44c | 61.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 69c | 59.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 44c | 56.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +67%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 33c | 48.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 44c | 47.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 70c | 46.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd53f…570cbacked Yes | 40c | 44.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 56c | 44.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 31c | 42.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…c6bdbacked No | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 70c | 41.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed No | 41c | 41.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…0559backed Yes | 67c | 36.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 60c | 36.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 42c | 36.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3836…b2ecbacked Yes | 35c | 36.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 37c | 35.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 56c | 35.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Yes | 58c | 34.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed No | 42c | 34.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Yes | 67c | 33.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 34c | 32.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…780bbacked No | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc09…fc5bbacked Yes | 40c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 56c | 28.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 56c | 27.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa6…49a1backed No | 44c | 26.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadcc…6005backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed No | 70c | 22.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 56c | 20.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…ca53backed Yes | 72c | 20.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa867…71abbacked Yes | 60c | 20.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New England Revolution win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will New England Revolution vs. Charlotte FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.