Mls · resolved market
Will New England Revolution vs. Charlotte FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5159322918622f4e7e7bd8192b48f0cf1db795d86085b82b713636e58a4a7c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 50c | 571.45$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.26 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 14c | 502.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.26 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 68c | 303.13$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 32c | 243.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…0167backed Yes | 43c | 187.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 187$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 68c | 147.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 50c | 133.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 27c | 127.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed No | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 113.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 53c | 101.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 72c | 99.59$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +17.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 55c | 83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Yes | 50c | 79.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 34c | 69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Yes | 49c | 61.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 62c | 55.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 51c | 52.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed No | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 78c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 78c | 38.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked No | 41c | 37.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 61c | 35.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed No | 78c | 31.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…06d9backed No | 77c | 31.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…ab23backed No | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…bb50backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New England Revolution vs. Charlotte FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will New England Revolution win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.