Mls · resolved market
Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1824bba5d869917f9453edf0a85b9afe5ef1dfbe1788bc8ebbeebd6c50705fdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 6,716$4,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.67 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…8d08backed No | 0c | 4,872$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 0cpaid | +9,900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Yes | 36c | 2,972$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Yes | 36c | 2,340$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 38c | 2,298$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.04 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 61c | 2,071$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.4 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 39c | 1,555$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.55 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 80c | 924.27$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.87 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 902.73$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.37 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Yes | 36c | 900$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 808.71$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.95 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 698.19$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.44 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 54c | 696.71$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.18 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 622.18$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.41 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 25c | 480.17$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.28 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 61c | 470$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.24 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 465.09$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.1 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Yes | 76c | 452.01$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 44c | 438.28$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.18 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 63c | 430.02$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.63 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 63c | 347$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.87 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 57c | 281.57$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.57 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 34c | 272.12$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.45 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 252.25$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 62c | 250$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 38c | 247$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.24 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…5e62backed Yes | 42c | 235.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 43c | 234.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.07 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 64c | 232.27$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.12 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 38c | 221.73$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.47 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 43c | 221.06$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 69c | 220.04$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 33c | 195.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 21c | 193.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed No | 32c | 181$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 62c | 164.47$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.16 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 68c | 163.54$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 62c | 155$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 49c | 135.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Yes | 78c | 128.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Yes | 37c | 128.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 48c | 117$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 49c | 111.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 36c | 110$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 61c | 102.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 38c | 102.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +67%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 61c | 97.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 41c | 80.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 38c | 79.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +12.0wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +83%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 62c | 74.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 64c | 71.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…475bbacked No | 40c | 68.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed No | 16c | 68.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 63c | 65.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 62c | 61.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 63c | 59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 32c | 55.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +16.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 38c | 52.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed No | 60c | 50.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -16.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed No | 66c | 49.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Yes | 40c | 48.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 32c | 47.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked No | 64c | 45.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 59c | 45.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 64c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…0559backed Yes | 44c | 36.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 61c | 36.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 45c | 34.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked No | 65c | 34.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 65c | 33.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 59c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc060…2a5abacked Yes | 76c | 32.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 63c | 31.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…9257backed Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…c611backed Yes | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b3…dcafbacked Yes | 38c | 28.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…547fbacked No | 65c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 63c | 25.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed Yes | 70c | 25.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 58c | 25.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 40c | 24.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 63c | 22.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 49c | 22.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 51c | 20.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…952dbacked Yes | 77c | 20.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 72cpaid | -37%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Austin FC vs. St. Louis City SC end in a draw?No won
- Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.