TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,293
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,293 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes34c33,728$11,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,379.449649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed Yes34c9,403$3,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,205.8415647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c9,337$6,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,188.277751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No64c5,548$3,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,553.3313553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No66c4,756$3,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,133.5197146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c4,361$2,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9081,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c4,091$2,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,676.313,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No66c3,210$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.7123858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No66c1,892$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.5413942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No66c1,600$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05617258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.899050%45 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No66c1,200$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79212263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No66c1,166$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.7668150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No66c1,121$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.619560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes65c1,059$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9739567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6708547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No34c990.28$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.921,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No66c959.53$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.7414151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No66c863.86$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.1542947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked No2c750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed No2c750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No23c747.14$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.1710753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No66c700$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46212661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No66c600$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39615858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No66c582.91$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.7872850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes36c561.9$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.9955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Yes66c470.44$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.954858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No66c400$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26414359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No67c399.98$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9910960.6%66 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked No66c399.36$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.581258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Yes58c377.17$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9216856%94 W · 74 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked No66c371.21$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed No34c289.51$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.13135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7110853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No66c260$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.616960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No66c260$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.614257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No13c244.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4412247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed No66c242.42$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No67c240$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.824351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No66c225.6$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.841,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked No64c225.46$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.591844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No66c214$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1878344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes34c210.38$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1653040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No32c208.87$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.562665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13213158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No66c199$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3413948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No66c191.28$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1670249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No66c189$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7455750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No66c189$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7468550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No66c184$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4491553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No65c183.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.69848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No66c180$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.815060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No67c166.83$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6580358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No66c160$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.614459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No66c160$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.611759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No66c160$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.612162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes35c158.66$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.132433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No30c143.65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.113952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked No67c119.4$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803151.6%16 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No66c116$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.569457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No64c114.57$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3435149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No47c103$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8436051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes35c102.86$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.861838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes56c101.37$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.620660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6614660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6614459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No37c93.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8520849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No33c92.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3812346.3%57 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No36c83.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0317753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No66c80$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.816955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No70c79.3$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5126050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No65c77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0515051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes61c65.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4696756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed No66c64.53$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.776847.1%32 W · 36 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed No62c64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked No64c62.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402875%21 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1744…b131backed No66c60.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked No34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed No36c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.63429.4%10 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-51.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No66c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.615259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No66c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.613461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No66c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.613560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No67c58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.868760.9%53 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No44c58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.523234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed No65c48.53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.561752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbea…7777backed No66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked No66c44.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.013452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes57c41.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1537249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No35c40.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2422946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No67c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.86248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No66c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.48469%58 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No66c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.49058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No66c38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0811563.5%73 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x845d…99d0backed No34c37.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No66c36.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0924859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes31c35.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.451233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed No64c32.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.924151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No65c30.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7916656.6%94 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No62c30.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8115748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed No66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.