Fifa International · resolved market
Croatia to score first vs. Panama?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e9a655267acd1fa506940e0805d2f62b78ab731cc3d95ed282022767588ca8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 70c | 2,614$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.06 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…bcd9backed Yes | 72c | 1,111$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.11 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 14c | 978.34$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.82 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 20c | 907.15$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.26 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 30c | 829.41$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.82 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 79c | 763.89$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.56 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…ef80backed Yes | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 116 | 41.4%48 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 30c | 675.73$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.72 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 30c | 649.6$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.88 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 31c | 587.42$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.09 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 31c | 512.03$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.14 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 30c | 421.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.82 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…e679backed No | 34c | 399.54$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.35 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…5487backed Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 29c | 284.8$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 30c | 249.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 33c | 207.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4c…3581backed Yes | 70c | 200.84$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 70c | 197.33$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…ba59backed Yes | 56c | 175.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf15f…4497backed Yes | 70c | 158.57$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aae…b7d0backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 115 | 53.9%62 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…de77backed Yes | 71c | 136.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x413b…8e67backed Yes | 76c | 131.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 14c | 130.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 30c | 125.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 30c | 118.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…a580backed Yes | 72c | 96.35$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Yes | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 45 | 82.2%37 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 69c | 84.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 45c | 79.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f94…cb06backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd37…0a65backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…ff09backed Yes | 70c | 48.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 31c | 43.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a9…572fbacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…52d5backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…0f18backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 75c | 41.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0513…5219backed Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6db…5199backed Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…debbbacked Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 35c | 35.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 35c | 34.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 76c | 31.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f6…1b65backed Yes | 64c | 31.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba82…6eb1backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 37c | 28.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca01…6f4fbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b94…51c7backed Yes | 70c | 24.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…a582backed Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…0e88backed Yes | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed Yes | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia to score first vs. Panama?this page
- Panama to score first vs. Croatia?No won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.