Fifa International · resolved market
Panama to score first vs. Croatia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d0649be9c8b5aae4e7d1ca1796c6946f89750c2e16bd847c852a414d40eebbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Yes | 27c | 5,302$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.61 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 73c | 1,848$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.92 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 72c | 1,090$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.61 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Yes | 29c | 1,038$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 71c | 999.56$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.29 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 72c | 933.55$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.06 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 26c | 902.22$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.58 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 71c | 775.26$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.35 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 22c | 763.89$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.37 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 10c | 700$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.7 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 46c | 680.64$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.95 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed Yes | 26c | 599.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 73c | 569.76$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.52 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 73c | 490.84$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.56 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 421.31$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.32 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff6…348fbacked Yes | 27c | 374$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 77c | 367$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.76 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 343.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…c525backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 23c | 266.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 73c | 249.24$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…c1e6backed Yes | 29c | 241.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 11c | 238.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.72 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 29c | 190.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7264…8121backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 79c | 136$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20f8…f1a7backed No | 75c | 131.73$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…ff1ebacked Yes | 28c | 110.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 69c | 86.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 31c | 79.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f9…9966backed Yes | 27c | 74.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 74c | 72.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 52c | 61.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 73c | 58.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a9…572fbacked No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a07…267fbacked Yes | 31c | 38.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 72c | 35.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 214 | 63.6%136 W · 78 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…9fbbbacked No | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed No | 75c | 19.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 74c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama to score first vs. Croatia?this page
- Croatia to score first vs. Panama?Yes won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.