Mls · resolved market
Will Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dd8308802cb2b335d3df6cba97acccd54d0cf19bc0dc9e3dfc8b6539e894604
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 48c | 8,638$4,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,111.61 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 50c | 2,593$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.43 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 10c | 2,150$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +306.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 5c | 1,025$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 25c | 973.71$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.35 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 15c | 768.39$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 11c | 663.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 61c | 639.79$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.94 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 70c | 428.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 52c | 384.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.61 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 26c | 382.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.03 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 28c | 349.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce3…07b5backed Yes | 74c | 270.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…6eaabacked Yes | 11c | 250.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 13c | 248.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8a…093bbacked Yes | 11c | 234.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed No | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 15c | 198.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Yes | 50c | 189.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed No | 27c | 175.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 55c | 169.49$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 43c | 162$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 10c | 158.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 51c | 156$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 79 | 74.7%59 W · 20 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 11c | 147.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 13c | 146$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 14c | 143.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 16c | 139.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 27c | 136.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ba…6f8abacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 69c | 122.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 64c | 120.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed No | 48c | 104.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…be63backed Yes | 65c | 100.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 50c | 96.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…21a8backed Yes | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Yes | 51c | 90.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 17c | 74.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed No | 27c | 69.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 63c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 27c | 49.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 66c | 47.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 55c | 46.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed No | 46c | 39.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 31c | 39.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x643d…98bebacked Yes | 50c | 36.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Yes | 42c | 28.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Yes | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa867…71abbacked Yes | 56c | 21.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…654cbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.