Mls · resolved market
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65dc7fec799b3e27948bdf256d986ad383c3a4e5815d3fd6abbfe1a089c455f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204e…8d08backed Yes | 0c | 20,234$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,193.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 0cpaid | +9,900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 12c | 16,670$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,669.59 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 11c | 6,186$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.18 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 12c | 4,065$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,564.77 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 13c | 3,755$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.39 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Yes | 17c | 2,952$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 58c | 2,897$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.96 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 3c | 2,150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +306.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 64c | 1,847$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.05 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 2c | 1,107$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.14 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 5c | 1,010$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 51c | 652.31$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.68 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 16c | 615.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.05 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 12c | 600$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 10c | 594.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.7 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed No | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 19c | 523$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 38c | 496.32$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.23 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 442.91$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 74c | 427.61$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 72c | 415.7$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.37 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 48c | 415.28$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.34 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 58c | 402.83$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.74 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 30c | 378.52$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.11 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Yes | 11c | 332.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.27 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…37acbacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…ae57backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.44per pick | 16cpaid | +280.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x47db…8cfabacked Yes | 19c | 281.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +165.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Yes | 17c | 250$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 7c | 228.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.59 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 12c | 214.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 7c | 203$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.49 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 22c | 166.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed Yes | 12c | 164.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes | 8c | 149.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.85 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…c6bdbacked No | 19c | 130$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Yes | 17c | 125$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa159…ac8ebacked Yes | 10c | 122.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 9c | 121.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed No | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 18c | 103.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 18c | 91.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 12c | 82.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…c113backed Yes | 54c | 78.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Yes | 17c | 75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.83per pick | 18cpaid | +471.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 18c | 61.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Yes | 30c | 37.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…1245backed Yes | 78c | 37.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…ab23backed Yes | 72c | 31.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.