World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa253ba0a2fbc5885a5879073152e4db69f6615d2bdc3f411bf116d58d2ddaaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf11f…908bbacked No | 6c | 1,451$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 47c | 937.19$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.79 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 19c | 844.77$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.78 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 2c | 478.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…488cbacked Yes | 48c | 417.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 48c | 341.6$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.1 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 52c | 314.96$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.78 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 22c | 308.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…cd1dbacked Yes | 56c | 294.37$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.31 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 24c | 277.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 32c | 269.55$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.51 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 58c | 262.36$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 56c | 254.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.71 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 32c | 243.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 55c | 238$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.74 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 74c | 234.53$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…53cbbacked Yes | 52c | 219.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.59 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 11c | 216.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 67c | 205.21$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.62 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 42c | 203.68$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.67 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 36c | 187.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked No | 18c | 177.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 73c | 171.77$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.64 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 36c | 169$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 33c | 155.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.66 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44f…1ceabacked Yes | 64c | 152.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…9ef3backed Yes | 48c | 145.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 54c | 144.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 43c | 140.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 46c | 133.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 12c | 132.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 59c | 131.83$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.36 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 52c | 129.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…34c4backed No | 37c | 124.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 45c | 122.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed No | 61c | 121.83$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 56c | 117.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 37c | 114.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 51c | 111.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 51c | 107.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 57c | 106.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…e6b1backed No | 48c | 104.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 49c | 103.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 30c | 97.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 35c | 96.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 40c | 95.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…9bc0backed No | 44c | 93.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 56c | 89.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 84.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 61c | 83.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 36c | 83.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 60c | 75.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 60c | 73.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…e2e3backed Yes | 31c | 70.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 17c | 70.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 18c | 67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 48c | 64.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 63c | 64.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 20c | 64.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 46c | 61.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…6d6ebacked Yes | 33c | 60.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 43c | 58.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 31c | 57.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 70c | 57.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…6171backed Yes | 43c | 56.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…02babacked Yes | 41c | 54.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 75c | 53.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f86…0b92backed No | 56c | 50.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…1398backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…0b53backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…9e01backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +159.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…3e60backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 36c | 48.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 58c | 46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 67c | 44.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 75 | 82.7%62 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 42c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 36c | 42.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 69c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 50c | 40.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.