World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb487eb3751a7c032fb30a7e4c29c9f3422e110dc2c4e28069fe9b9e7b654df61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 37c | 1,015$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.41 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 30c | 878.79$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.57 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 27c | 650.25$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.51 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 31c | 379.75$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 67c | 375.1$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.62 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 369.05$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee0…28d5backed No | 60c | 333.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.78 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 56c | 316.74$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.33 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 20c | 316.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…3b01backed No | 76c | 263.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 9c | 252.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…cd1dbacked Yes | 29c | 247.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa726…0dadbacked No | 62c | 240.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 68c | 238$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 64c | 210$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 60c | 201$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 66c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 66c | 199.49$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 104 | 14.4%15 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 33c | 198.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 76c | 197.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 70c | 185.96$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 74c | 170.63$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 44c | 137.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 29c | 125.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…57c3backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 75c | 121$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…6734backed No | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 67c | 118$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…9528backed Yes | 27c | 115.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cc…2a5ebacked Yes | 31c | 115.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae42…9235backed Yes | 44c | 115.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 31c | 112.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 79c | 111.65$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 69c | 110.97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 29c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 31c | 109.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…29b2backed Yes | 33c | 105$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…e2e3backed Yes | 16c | 103.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 69c | 102$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 36c | 99.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 63c | 95.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…53cbbacked Yes | 21c | 94.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…52d8backed No | 59c | 93.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 75 | 82.7%62 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 76c | 88.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 43c | 83.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1e…b5f4backed No | 57c | 82.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 44c | 79.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked No | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 74.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 67c | 71.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 57c | 68.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…3abebacked Yes | 30c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed No | 59c | 67.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 64c | 66.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 25c | 63.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 28c | 63.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 66c | 62.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 69c | 61.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…2bd6backed Yes | 23c | 60.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…18d8backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 23c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 72c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 75cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 33c | 59.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 66c | 59.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 70c | 57.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…32a3backed Yes | 23c | 56.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 61c | 52.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…a1a5backed No | 78c | 51.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…02babacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…0b53backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 29c | 49.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x737c…cdf2backed Yes | 26c | 47.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 41c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 24c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 72c | 46.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed No | 71c | 45.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Yes | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 60c | 43.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 41c | 41.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 65c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…1633backed No | 78c | 40.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 75c | 40.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 28c | 38.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x352a…3d6fbacked No | 73c | 38.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b15…8d82backed No | 78c | 37.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.