Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc90c09438ad73193bf1b3a82e9f1aa32831271dfd705e6a0f025928145a94662
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed30…87b1backed Yes | 72c | 356.39$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.68 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 32c | 239.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.52 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 70c | 236.89$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.64 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked No | 63c | 233.19$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.14 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 54c | 203$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5484…84e8backed No | 62c | 167.02$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 41c | 163.77$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.44 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 72c | 154.75$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.42 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 70c | 145.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 30c | 137.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.41 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 135.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 28c | 135$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 134.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.05 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x118a…457ebacked Yes | 72c | 134.11$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 50c | 124.04$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 73c | 122.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 32c | 115.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 35c | 115$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 36c | 111$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 43c | 104$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 68c | 99.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 69c | 97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…c8ffbacked No | 60c | 91.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 324 | 40.1%130 W · 194 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbec…5088backed Yes | 44c | 86.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…366ebacked No | 63c | 84.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 53c | 83.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed No | 54c | 80.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 63c | 80.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 34c | 79.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…229fbacked Yes | 23c | 78.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.29 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 73c | 76.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 45c | 75.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 72c | 74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…ae8dbacked Yes | 63c | 72.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 185 | 67.6%125 W · 60 L | +28.7wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…8e7ebacked Yes | 28c | 72.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 960 | 15%144 W · 816 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 63c | 72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…89d9backed No | 57c | 69.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 55c | 67.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 35c | 64.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 71c | 56.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…e28abacked No | 64c | 53.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 420 | 61.2%257 W · 163 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31af…5c86backed Yes | 33c | 52.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 318 | 36.8%117 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 35c | 51.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 32c | 50.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 464 | 57.5%267 W · 197 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 52c | 45.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 107 | 64.5%69 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…3a8bbacked Yes | 52c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d9…ec8abacked Yes | 28c | 42.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 156 | 30.8%48 W · 108 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 72c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 29c | 41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 30c | 40.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 31c | 40.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 45c | 40.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…95f5backed No | 52c | 37.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 71c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 69c | 35.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…118ebacked Yes | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 208 | 42.8%89 W · 119 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 64c | 34.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3023…465cbacked No | 65c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 49c | 31.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 317 | 66.9%212 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…0a43backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ccd0backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 160 | 65.6%105 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd85d…3700backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 41c | 29.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 28.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 40c | 28.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 48c | 28.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 371 | 44.2%164 W · 207 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 50c | 28.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bf…04aabacked No | 57c | 26.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…4f72backed No | 75c | 26.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 241 | 64.7%156 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7a…07a0backed No | 63c | 21.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 90 | 66.7%60 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 50c | 20.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 435 | 63.9%278 W · 157 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x322c…8fe9backed No | 64c | 20.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 138 | 62.3%86 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eec…c8edbacked No | 52c | 19.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 197 | 69.5%137 W · 60 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 63c | 19.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…085cbacked Yes | 78c | 19.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 616 | 76.3%470 W · 146 L | +92.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 72c | 17.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 58c | 17.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.