World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d9d85c6249de4965789da7f4f603ecee82ea7761993c2e059f5e3e5d0a653c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 68c | 1,570$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.47 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 17c | 553.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 56c | 440.14$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.76 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 70c | 436.51$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.79 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked No | 33c | 395$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.94 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 58c | 379.5$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.88 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 31c | 373.56$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked Yes | 77c | 365.94$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 47c | 332$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 59c | 331.37$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 43c | 324.83$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.94 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 53c | 324.78$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.89 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 27c | 288.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed No | 10c | 284.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd391…13bdbacked No | 70c | 270.85$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked No | 10c | 267.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 10c | 266.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 12c | 248.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410f…57febacked No | 5c | 223.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 44c | 214.89$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 39c | 185$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 7c | 180$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 104 | 14.4%15 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 37c | 171.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 37c | 169.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 68c | 151$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…3abebacked No | 37c | 149.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 75c | 139.35$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 60c | 126.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 60c | 124.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 33c | 122.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 49c | 121.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 46c | 116.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 44c | 112.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 46c | 112$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 45c | 107.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 38c | 107.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 12c | 104.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…1646backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed No | 52c | 95.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6e…2427backed Yes | 46c | 94.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb674…e97abacked No | 35c | 93.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 16c | 91.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 49c | 89.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 48c | 80.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 78c | 80.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 58c | 75.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 41c | 72.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 54c | 72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 24c | 71.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 50c | 70.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…41ccbacked Yes | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 60c | 63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5b…7676backed Yes | 72c | 60.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +296.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 33c | 59.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 45c | 58.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 36c | 55.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 52c | 54.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859c…6eafbacked No | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…a6dabacked Yes | 60c | 51.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…11f8backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…34c3backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…3e60backed Yes | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 35c | 48.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 41c | 44.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…c007backed Yes | 49c | 44.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…e2e3backed Yes | 45c | 44.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 42c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed Yes | 42c | 43.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 63c | 43.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…9da2backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 59c | 42.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…8ffbbacked Yes | 45c | 39.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 28c | 37.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…2d4bbacked No | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18fd…53efbacked No | 69c | 36.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…2769backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked No | 41c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 76c | 34.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…ade6backed Yes | 69c | 33.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 56c | 33.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 54c | 31.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 36c | 29.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…f207backed No | 53c | 27.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…b04cbacked Yes | 72c | 26.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 37c | 26.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 142 | 5.6%8 W · 134 L | -27.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 67c | 26.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…d496backed Yes | 62c | 26.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.37per pick | 45cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.