World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaee270f117ab24d9a865def58474583df25dbe2870af4dfa734968397fc45322
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 11c | 1,742$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.18 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,507$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.77 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 2c | 1,071$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 37c | 936.5$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.5 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 70c | 369.01$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.76 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 12c | 343.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 71c | 343.19$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.65 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 65c | 332$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.48 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 4c | 325.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 104 | 14.4%15 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…51adbacked Yes | 30c | 323.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 30c | 297.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 25c | 295.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 294.05$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.88 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 24c | 274.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 23c | 273.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 27c | 242.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 73c | 234.23$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…8c4dbacked Yes | 28c | 224.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 32c | 188.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 29c | 187.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 68c | 178.47$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 66c | 166.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 12c | 164.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 67c | 161$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cc5ebacked No | 73c | 157.9$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 66c | 155$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 32c | 154.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 25c | 150.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed No | 75c | 149.98$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 149.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 67c | 130.94$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 33c | 124.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 120.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb674…e97abacked Yes | 10c | 113.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 28c | 113$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 75c | 110.93$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 78c | 102.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 71c | 94.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 66c | 94.14$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 69c | 89.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 29c | 89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 36c | 86.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed No | 75c | 83.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 23c | 73.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 22c | 72.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 80c | 71.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 27c | 70.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 69c | 70.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6969…c0c1backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 75c | 69.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 29c | 65.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…53cbbacked Yes | 31c | 64.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 71c | 63.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 65c | 62.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x859c…6eafbacked Yes | 23c | 61.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…7153backed No | 73c | 60.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 69c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed No | 73c | 56.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 27c | 53.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 24c | 52.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…8ffbbacked Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 23c | 50.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…34c3backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 33c | 49.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 72c | 49.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 65c | 48.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 37c | 47.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 40c | 47.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…79debacked No | 73c | 45.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 26c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x002a…61b7backed No | 78c | 40.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 71c | 40.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 50c | 40.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 65c | 39.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 64c | 37.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 28c | 37.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 47c | 36.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 73c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…a457backed Yes | 44c | 33.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 70c | 33.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…da1ebacked No | 69c | 32.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 69c | 31.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…3e60backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 66c | 29.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae99…2ed5backed Yes | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aac…bc3bbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…8ea6backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 77c | 26.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 77c | 26.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.