Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf28587ebcc39eafa89fb79ffe3643a356ab48f25b5624c9cd09bbcfb1fef8636
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 27c | 1,083$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.32 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 24c | 547.94$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.06 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…ab49backed No | 70c | 425.22$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.86 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 73c | 350$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.5 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 26c | 342.55$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.18 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…3adfbacked Yes | 49c | 267.45$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.02 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 38c | 207.12$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.06 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 204.66$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.35 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…f087backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 244 | 32.8%80 W · 164 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 50c | 177$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 176.4$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 29c | 165.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.41 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 30c | 164.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.47 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 51c | 160.62$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 22c | 160.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 63c | 154.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.81 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…1083backed Yes | 34c | 147.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…0af7backed No | 72c | 139.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 328 | 72%236 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 28c | 139.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 56c | 131.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 31c | 125$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 43c | 124.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 24c | 123$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 72c | 121.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 34c | 117.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 55c | 112$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 52c | 109.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 46c | 98.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 54c | 93.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 45c | 91.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 25c | 76.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 548 | 53.1%291 W · 257 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 34c | 73.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec11…953fbacked No | 74c | 73.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +104%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 27c | 62.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 27c | 62.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 41c | 59.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 62c | 58.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed No | 50c | 55.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…6071backed Yes | 79c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 47c | 54.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 56c | 53.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 33c | 52.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 51c | 52.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 35c | 51.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 24c | 50.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…e722backed Yes | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 60c | 49.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 55c | 48.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed Yes | 30c | 47.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 26c | 47.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbec…5088backed No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…8e7ebacked No | 22c | 46.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 960 | 15%144 W · 816 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f2…ef25backed No | 71c | 43.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…d22cbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…7cb8backed Yes | 54c | 43.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…497dbacked Yes | 61c | 38.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 349 | 35.2%123 W · 226 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x487d…6813backed Yes | 40c | 37.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…f69fbacked No | 56c | 36.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…dbb2backed Yes | 46c | 35.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked No | 36c | 35.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 76c | 34.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked No | 72c | 34.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 31c | 34.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 60c | 33.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 76c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 57c | 32.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 32.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5174…8a39backed Yes | 47c | 31.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…3845backed Yes | 40c | 30.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked Yes | 78c | 28.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 306 | 65%199 W · 107 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…0cc4backed Yes | 46c | 24.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 54c | 24.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed No | 71c | 23.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35d…5289backed No | 56c | 23.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…cc0cbacked Yes | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6a…4614backed Yes | 72c | 20.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -11.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6122…7b8fbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 159 | 61.6%98 W · 61 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…7f19backed No | 77c | 19.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1aa…de3abacked Yes | 64c | 18.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 75c | 18.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 74c | 18.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…d2dabacked Yes | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 58c | 17.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 73c | 14.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 76c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or below on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on June 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.