Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2122eafa12264df4a64af8d3d66ffb51bda923e73570e8ecf8f8873fb0194b67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 34c | 4,628$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.73 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…ab49backed No | 68c | 1,982$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.27 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,501$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.09 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 23c | 518.92$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.97 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 36c | 517$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.9 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 35c | 476.46$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 71c | 457.66$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 34c | 455.64$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.64 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 76c | 366.29$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.59 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 28c | 363.13$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.41 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 20c | 296.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 73c | 256.13$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 76c | 239.21$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 32c | 204$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 28c | 189.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 21c | 188.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 30c | 179$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 76c | 176.4$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed No | 78c | 169.05$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 77c | 164.03$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 10c | 159.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 8c | 151.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 59c | 150$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…d64fbacked No | 59c | 147$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 191 | 71.7%137 W · 54 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 33c | 137$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 29c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…9da2backed Yes | 24c | 123.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 59c | 117.52$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 22c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc4…1a48backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 32c | 93.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…2ca4backed Yes | 28c | 88.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 208 | 33.2%69 W · 139 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 59c | 88.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 64c | 86.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 66c | 86.17$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f60…4cacbacked Yes | 16c | 85.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 74c | 83.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…8eb9backed No | 69c | 73.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a5…132bbacked Yes | 47c | 64.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 63.01$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 31c | 62.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb5…d2c8backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 27c | 58.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 23c | 49.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 34c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 77c | 47.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 63c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x487d…6813backed Yes | 23c | 45.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…9d1bbacked Yes | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 67c | 43.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 54c | 41.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 70c | 40.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…7cb8backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 60c | 38.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20b…390bbacked Yes | 41c | 37.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 31c | 36.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 31c | 36.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 60c | 33.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6107…4176backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 464 | 52.2%242 W · 222 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed No | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 70c | 24.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d9…6da7backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…c9fdbacked No | 70c | 21.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa109…7e42backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 110 | 68.2%75 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d964backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 159 | 61.6%98 W · 61 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or below on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on June 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.