Champions League · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdd10e07cb4204067d6404094dca89222e14e82becba18479ea454c8cbe8bacf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 2,860$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.21 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…7be8backed Yes | 26c | 2,041$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 74c | 1,630$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.46 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 75c | 1,545$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.51 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Yes | 5c | 1,423$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 75c | 1,388$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.98 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc366…2be0backed Yes | 1c | 1,098$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 77c | 880.92$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.76 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 76c | 864.49$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 20c | 833.26$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.66 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc272…a14bbacked Yes | 25c | 828.52$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 26c | 758.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Yes | 24c | 630$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 75c | 477.67$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.21 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 26c | 386.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 29c | 350.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…bbb5backed Yes | 29c | 346.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 329.81$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.77 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 302.78$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 24c | 242.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…abeabacked Yes | 28c | 221.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…c47dbacked Yes | 25c | 202.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d2…7c0dbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes | 25c | 199.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 78c | 173.62$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 73c | 149.97$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…d6a5backed Yes | 26c | 135.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 26c | 131.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Yes | 16c | 123.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2946…8eb4backed Yes | 25c | 118.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…521bbacked Yes | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 25c | 99.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +90%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 99.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Yes | 25c | 98.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 80c | 92.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…9800backed Yes | 13c | 87.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 73c | 86.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 85.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 24c | 84.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked Yes | 25c | 79.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…f358backed Yes | 25c | 78.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…aeacbacked Yes | 25c | 77.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 75.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…be86backed Yes | 27c | 75.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…b7c4backed No | 76c | 70.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…444dbacked Yes | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 23c | 64.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 25c | 59.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 73c | 55.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…f481backed Yes | 28c | 53.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eab…aa00backed Yes | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 74c | 48.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c3…d307backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 31c | 46.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…5da8backed No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca4…70d9backed No | 75c | 34.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 75c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…ea83backed No | 76c | 26.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…cbfbbacked No | 79c | 24.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 77c | 21.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?this page
- Arsenal FC leading at halftime?Yes won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.