Asian League · resolved market
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd0a43c9c139482bc3179dd2ff3e5f7f051f6f3f0dae1ff2069783a5a8aee998
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 46c | 6,456$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,484.59 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 55c | 3,028$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.17 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 48c | 2,278$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.15 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed No | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked Yes | 39c | 1,238$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.79 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 40c | 1,201$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.44 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 18c | 1,100$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.95 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…4662backed No | 57c | 722.15$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.63 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 61c | 720.77$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.32 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 57c | 641.18$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.66 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 21c | 523.74$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.49 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 43c | 454.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.18 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 59c | 410.81$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.12 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 44c | 329.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.11 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 20c | 298.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.76 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 58c | 298.01$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.01 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 11c | 265.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.15 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Yes | 63c | 259.03$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +116%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No | 57c | 183.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.82 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 56c | 162$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.93 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked No | 61c | 156.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes | 74c | 140.25$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked No | 61c | 129.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 42c | 98.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0299…5f02backed Yes | 64c | 97.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1343…f1a5backed Yes | 53c | 94.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…7b41backed Yes | 66c | 91.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 51c | 85.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 18c | 84.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 33c | 68.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 65c | 67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 42c | 59.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 31c | 56.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 62c | 49.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed No | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed No | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 48c | 39.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 78c | 38.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 61c | 27.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will FC Seoul vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.