Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Seoul vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd075d07ece3f83e7d993a6d6c702713a51ea8499f598b737dac8f28ecc31e764
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 3,022$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.01 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 42c | 2,442$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.69 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0a…8521backed No | 75c | 1,952$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…4d49backed Yes | 23c | 1,722$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,410$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.02 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked Yes | 25c | 967.01$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.97 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 64c | 842.11$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.25 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 18c | 675.82$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.65 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b94…82ccbacked Yes | 19c | 660$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 621.13$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.12 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 33c | 536$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 282.46$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 25c | 190$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1343…f1a5backed Yes | 30c | 163.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 35c | 160.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 147.07$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Yes | 30c | 142.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed No | 70c | 119.03$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 74c | 110$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 64c | 108.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 26c | 102.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 30c | 83.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 26c | 75.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 73c | 73.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…c347backed Yes | 28c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 29c | 68.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 36c | 67.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 70c | 63.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 25c | 59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 57.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked No | 67c | 57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 29c | 55.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 27c | 51.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…4af5backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…b2d4backed Yes | 36c | 41.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 77c | 38.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…e18ebacked Yes | 38c | 31.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 74c | 20.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 68c | 18.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Seoul vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.