Asian League · resolved market
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b63981ffd38d31a2c6577d1579372a5b37df54378fe851b66ed38e43a24b8cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 1c | 16,789$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.89 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed No | 57c | 14,397$8,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,189 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Yes | 43c | 9,662$4,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,507.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 5,039$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.88 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 43c | 4,096$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.35 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 8c | 2,591$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.59 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 26c | 2,024$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.32 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed No | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 1,476$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.56 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Yes | 72c | 1,450$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 32c | 1,417$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 41c | 1,141$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 29c | 877.84$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.72 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 62c | 804.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked No | 68c | 733.47$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.37per pick | 55cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 73c | 666$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.32 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 43c | 610.38$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.92 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 47c | 539.95$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.27 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 20c | 534.56$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 62c | 468.76$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.48 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 62c | 468.76$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.48 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 68c | 443.94$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.88 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Yes | 34c | 439.26$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Yes | 29c | 414.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.16 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 55c | 363.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…c645backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 356.83$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.41 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 19c | 343.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed No | 73c | 342.46$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Yes | 65c | 320$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…44c4backed Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 43c | 244$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.08 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes | 37c | 241.78$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.32 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…896cbacked Yes | 75c | 235$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 34c | 220.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2d…5116backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 5c | 206$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 17c | 204.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.52 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes | 41c | 203.05$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 43c | 198$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…8453backed Yes | 36c | 195.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +178.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 180.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…0114backed Yes | 28c | 176.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 43c | 164.85$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 62c | 161.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.46 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8453…76bfbacked Yes | 44c | 160.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 38c | 144.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 139.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…b17fbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 59c | 133.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked No | 77c | 130.78$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 78c | 128.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 29c | 124.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 28c | 117.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 72c | 117.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 52c | 115.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 33c | 110.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 14c | 110.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…0614backed Yes | 37c | 107.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…1cd6backed Yes | 40c | 101$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 66c | 98.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 25c | 98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 488 | 67.8%331 W · 157 L | +68.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 76c | 96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked Yes | 43c | 92.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked No | 71c | 91.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 57c | 88.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 53c | 83.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf396…9d48backed Yes | 26c | 77.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…ba99backed No | 74c | 76.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 59c | 73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 62c | 72.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 40c | 69.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 43c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 57c | 68.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 25c | 68.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 427 | 25.8%110 W · 317 L | -34.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 28c | 67.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…d3babacked Yes | 34c | 67.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +158.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 43c | 63.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…748cbacked Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 80cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3db…97a6backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 62c | 59.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Nagoya Grampus end in a draw?No won
- Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.