Asian League · resolved market
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5d3ac99fbabb48cc7ce45ed5c10acc1224da8a8c26513aaed3eed290cccff36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 34c | 4,940$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.94 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 73c | 3,492$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.13 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 69c | 2,227$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.64 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…ce6abacked Yes | 61c | 2,000$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 9c | 1,538$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.94 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed No | 21c | 1,317$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.57 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 5c | 1,283$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 4c | 925.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae66…3d04backed No | 21c | 900$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…4662backed No | 31c | 774$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.94 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b94…82ccbacked Yes | 60c | 761.53$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.61 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 7c | 643$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…4d49backed No | 21c | 585.44$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…7cbebacked No | 7c | 442.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked Yes | 59c | 422$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.07 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 36c | 399.9$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.96 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed No | 4c | 354.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 64c | 322.13$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.45 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 21c | 321.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 60c | 310$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.03 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 21c | 306.4$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed No | 21c | 287.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 4c | 268.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 44c | 251.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.37 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 9c | 235.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 26c | 231.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 45c | 212$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 43c | 209.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…4af5backed Yes | 59c | 206.01$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed No | 16c | 194.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 10c | 172.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 55c | 166.79$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 19c | 166.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 72c | 161$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 60c | 146.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 66c | 138.73$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 79c | 126.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 23c | 120.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 12c | 107.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…e46abacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 84.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 26c | 78.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 60c | 71.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 71.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…2651backed No | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Yes | 63c | 65.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c8…1ed4backed Yes | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…fccdbacked Yes | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 19c | 52.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 66c | 52.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…4be3backed Yes | 80c | 50.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 37c | 37.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 79c | 33.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked No | 42c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 63c | 20.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…debfbacked Yes | 57c | 19.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 57c | 18.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 63c | 15.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Gwangju FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.