World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf8b66c467263e2112345e8e9b62e5247aa99f58c2f44beb874d046bc7962e24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0d…8c4dbacked Yes | 38c | 447.2$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.97 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 43c | 364.38$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.26 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 52c | 361.55$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.29 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…53cbbacked Yes | 45c | 358.04$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.04 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 60c | 332.3$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.57 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 56c | 330.79$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.9 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 50c | 285.3$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.46 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 41c | 258$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.18 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a65…5b95backed No | 18c | 243.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 34c | 240.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.73 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 68c | 226.41$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.36 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 222.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.21 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 68c | 213.03$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 47c | 205.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…cd1dbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 36c | 182.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 64c | 150.31$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 59c | 135.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 38c | 132.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 31c | 129.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…f6a0backed Yes | 24c | 126.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.06 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 38c | 126$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 58c | 125.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed No | 67c | 119.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 40c | 112.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 37c | 108.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 30c | 105.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 41c | 100.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 22c | 98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…17afbacked Yes | 41c | 90.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 43c | 89.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…7153backed No | 56c | 88.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 60c | 86.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 60c | 85.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc91…2842backed No | 63c | 79.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 60c | 77.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 64c | 74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 63c | 73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 66c | 72.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 33c | 70.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 65c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 44c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 38c | 68.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 45c | 67.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 58c | 64.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 25c | 60.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5484…84e8backed No | 76c | 59.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 35c | 57.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 42c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 62c | 52.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19cb…a867backed Yes | 39c | 51.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d2…0789backed Yes | 44c | 50.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…d8e3backed No | 59c | 50.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 77c | 50.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…34c3backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 67c | 48.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 56c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 41c | 47.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d69…9f70backed Yes | 47c | 45.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859c…6eafbacked Yes | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 58c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 57c | 44.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d0…1845backed No | 54c | 42.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa53…02a8backed Yes | 40c | 42.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 56c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 40c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83bb…b01fbacked Yes | 44c | 33.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 38c | 33.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…a773backed Yes | 41c | 33.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 60c | 33.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…d496backed Yes | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.37per pick | 45cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e53…254cbacked No | 62c | 32.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked Yes | 38c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…ebe8backed Yes | 43c | 31.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 65c | 30.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 60c | 29.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed No | 74c | 28.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 52c | 26.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 142 | 5.6%8 W · 134 L | -27.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf9…1ffabacked No | 63c | 25.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 44c | 24.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2c…0854backed No | 59c | 24.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 23.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fd…1902backed No | 59c | 23.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…cdd9backed Yes | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca4…118dbacked No | 59c | 22.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 21.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x841b…a2a7backed No | 59c | 21.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.