World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9716fc566d6bb7e79b63f844465284e42c8b6b447e49cce95e3f83bde07b591d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 47c | 428.92$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 55c | 332.3$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.15 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 46c | 323.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.03 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 56c | 290.1$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.61 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 17c | 284.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 47c | 272.18$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.33 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…f6a0backed Yes | 10c | 201.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 65c | 191.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5484…84e8backed No | 52c | 185.62$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…d2dcbacked Yes | 45c | 185.06$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…b04cbacked Yes | 42c | 143.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 54c | 140$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 57c | 135.02$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 55c | 128.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 68c | 126.07$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 53 | 83%44 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…f053backed No | 48c | 120.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 54c | 120.62$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 71c | 105.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 100.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d0…1845backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 56c | 95.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 56c | 83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 32c | 82.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 49c | 76.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 54c | 75.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 56c | 71.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…67c5backed Yes | 55c | 69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 42c | 65.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd938…fa19backed Yes | 38c | 64.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…34c4backed No | 48c | 63.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 44c | 63.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 56c | 63.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 28c | 62.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 41c | 56.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…8ffbbacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…9bc0backed No | 49c | 53.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 59c | 51.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…34c3backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b82…b217backed Yes | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a65…5b95backed Yes | 61c | 48.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…a773backed Yes | 36c | 47.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 65c | 47.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 44c | 45.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 44c | 45.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked Yes | 57c | 44.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 38c | 43.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked Yes | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…03e8backed No | 65c | 42.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…14ccbacked Yes | 35c | 41.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 69c | 40.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 52c | 40.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d69…9f70backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 40c | 38.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…29afbacked No | 64c | 37.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 29c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 55c | 35.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 56c | 35.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…5915backed No | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 46c | 34.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…a1dfbacked Yes | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fd…1902backed No | 63c | 31.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed Yes | 34c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 62c | 30.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…8c4dbacked Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e92…ad5bbacked Yes | 36c | 28.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 61c | 27.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 57c | 26.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8579…ed5dbacked No | 62c | 25.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…8d3cbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 58c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 61c | 24.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 49c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 48c | 23.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 142 | 5.6%8 W · 134 L | -27.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 64c | 23.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffd…43f9backed No | 63c | 23.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 50c | 22.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…308abacked No | 54c | 22.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 66c | 21.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…3384backed No | 67c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 52c | 20.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 59c | 20.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…52d8backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…729bbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.