Mls · resolved market
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0287eb83a58a807eb07ff21c76f8734ee0858bbaaadcff5dc296f4e680ebc24f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 43c | 4,364$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.35 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 61c | 2,542$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.04 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 66c | 2,065$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 62c | 1,755$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.82 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 45c | 1,503$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 42c | 1,144$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.1 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 47c | 1,068$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 48c | 1,044$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 1,042$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.06 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 43c | 1,033$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.15 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 35c | 974.84$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.66 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 57c | 880.45$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.39 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 51c | 872.35$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.74 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 57c | 747.64$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.49 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 31c | 746.39$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.78 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 69c | 724.62$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 57c | 599.35$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.61 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 43c | 590.53$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.42 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 30c | 563.6$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.28 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes | 57c | 529.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…03d0backed Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 57c | 487.56$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.32 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Yes | 28c | 439.87$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Yes | 75c | 399.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 56c | 369.8$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.87 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 43c | 349.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.46 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 44c | 344.62$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.99 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 36c | 321.33$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.16 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 43c | 277.01$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.9 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 50c | 261.83$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.91 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 74c | 259$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.51 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 73c | 254$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.41 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 79c | 251.02$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.64 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 59c | 247.05$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 61c | 239$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.86 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 35c | 237.59$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 43c | 235.61$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 36c | 228.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Yes | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 47c | 205$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.48 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 42c | 203.47$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed No | 54c | 183.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 50c | 175.11$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 61c | 172.5$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 62c | 159.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.46 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 32c | 146$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 51c | 145$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 73c | 136$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Yes | 56c | 134.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 53c | 131.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked No | 51c | 129.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 49c | 128.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 59c | 107.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 44c | 101$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 58c | 96.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…c6bdbacked Yes | 52c | 95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…5692backed Yes | 41c | 92.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a5…2563backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0f…6906backed Yes | 11c | 87.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 37c | 83.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 28c | 83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed No | 49c | 77.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 49c | 75.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked No | 43c | 74.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 50c | 67.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 55c | 63.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 28c | 56.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 45c | 56.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 36c | 54.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 43c | 50.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be8…284dbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 56c | 45.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 44c | 45.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…49a3backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…9e3bbacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…0778backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7115…2b2fbacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 55c | 40.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 70c | 37.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 54c | 37.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…ab23backed Yes | 53c | 37.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 59c | 33.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…0559backed Yes | 41c | 33.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed Yes | 69c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f51…43debacked Yes | 61c | 32.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Yes | 59c | 32.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Chicago Fire FC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.