La Liga · resolved market
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-05-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab967a2701cb8c02c60f24070d1e26444fe4746b4fd0ba330df6af8c46a96996
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 20c | 3,295$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.4 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 21c | 3,169$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.89 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 19c | 2,021$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.75 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 15c | 1,754$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.15 | 610 | 32.3%197 W · 413 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 1,355$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.76 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 5c | 1,041$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Yes | 78c | 898.67$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.67 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 73cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 62c | 705$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.85 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 5c | 680.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 13c | 669.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.98 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 21c | 629.1$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.74 | 460 | 40.9%188 W · 272 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 21c | 545.89$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.34 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 5c | 509.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 18c | 483.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 31c | 443.97$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.37 | 189 | 56.6%107 W · 82 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 76c | 380.07$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 62c | 319.4$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +9.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…7cbebacked No | 6c | 298.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 8c | 289.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 7c | 265.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 11c | 250$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Yes | 9c | 213$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 160$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 12c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 11c | 142.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 77c | 129.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 68cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 28c | 122.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 12c | 117$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 21c | 103.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 622 | 58%361 W · 261 L | +44.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffa9…eff1backed Yes | 78c | 102.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 76cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0a…8521backed Yes | 75c | 99.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 93.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 20c | 88.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 51c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 23c | 83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 63c | 82.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…ab23backed Yes | 75c | 81.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 66c | 54.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…bb50backed No | 34c | 53.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 78c | 34.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Yes | 78c | 28.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…fa63backed Yes | 79c | 18.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 76c | 14.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-05-01?this page
- Will FC Andorra vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Andorra win on 2026-05-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.