South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5924b190acb5220bd65ae171cc58b59ebab9af37ba844f56e567f0ca07193945
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 77c | 2,709$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.76 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 2,700$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.2 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 40c | 2,413$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.94 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 1,352$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.06 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Yes | 61c | 1,176$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.44 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +10.2wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 59c | 1,001$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 78c | 894.53$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 1c | 818$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 581.08$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.48 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 60c | 482.16$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 20c | 470$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.93 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 61c | 388.58$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.55 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 50c | 323.08$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.04 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 9c | 299.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…a505backed No | 5c | 205.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 79c | 201.68$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 68c | 193.51$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 72c | 180.19$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 47c | 170.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 20c | 160.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Yes | 49c | 153.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…2f43backed No | 57c | 152.63$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 20c | 148.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 38c | 147.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d8…e2abbacked No | 78c | 140.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7378…8a24backed No | 19c | 129.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 47c | 121.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 61c | 120.4$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fb…f24cbacked No | 18c | 111.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 21c | 106.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 30c | 102.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 19c | 96.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…f2a9backed No | 33c | 91.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 80c | 90.83$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 59c | 84.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 26c | 82.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…448abacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +245.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 77c | 72.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 79c | 63.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed No | 33c | 58.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 57.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 60c | 57.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 36c | 47.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 59c | 40.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 77c | 31.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 78c | 31.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 38c | 30.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes | 69c | 29.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 75c | 23.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 80c | 21.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 79c | 19.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 80c | 16.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 80c | 16.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked No | 79c | 16.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed No | 80c | 13.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?No won
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.