South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc27c436f29fa89616ad328e9d5bfd47298904d2844a421e92784afa4a1f3448c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 3,096$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.91 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed No | 76c | 2,098$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.7 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 53c | 2,013$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.56 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 15c | 667.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 5c | 299.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 292.09$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 235.73$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.94 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c4…1563backed Yes | 51c | 233.33$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 48c | 216.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.96 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 21c | 199.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda25…abafbacked Yes | 53c | 186.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 169.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Yes | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 150$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked No | 50c | 144.69$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 23c | 105.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Yes | 53c | 96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 53c | 85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…7847backed Yes | 27c | 74.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 50c | 69.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 48c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bce…4b01backed Yes | 22c | 56.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…c451backed Yes | 53c | 55.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd5…46b9backed Yes | 18c | 55.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 55.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 33c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 64c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 48c | 40.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 51c | 33.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c9…b92fbacked Yes | 52c | 28.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff37…db48backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…bb50backed No | 48c | 24.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…066cbacked No | 75c | 23.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 23.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked No | 79c | 23.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked No | 67c | 23.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 49c | 21.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
- Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.