Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Moreirense FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08f0313477d43dc1ccfad4f918ad0360754d3bfea0829cf09306a0095df2d27f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 69c | 1,915$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.72 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 835.28$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.02 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 613.35$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.88 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 41c | 533.78$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.96 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 66c | 416.26$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.74 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 6c | 393.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 32c | 358.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 31c | 329.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.08 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 323.23$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 60c | 300$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 26c | 289.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 283.31$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec4…1958backed Yes | 78c | 256.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 31c | 225.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 27c | 223.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 70c | 192.55$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 50c | 180.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 74c | 144$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 26c | 111.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked No | 69c | 101.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 100.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 21c | 75.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 31c | 74.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…5db9backed Yes | 56c | 74.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 52c | 64.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 62c | 50.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 31c | 49.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 53c | 46.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 65c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 24c | 42.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 31c | 37.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 31c | 37.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 64c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x756c…651bbacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf8…4d13backed No | 70c | 16.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Moreirense FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.