Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3c6025fb7c58cfadfe3cd69dc0cfbc1dab4eb5100c09e7064cef5880955873b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 27c | 906.44$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.44 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 905.21$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.5 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 19c | 770.95$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.36 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 3c | 732$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 626.54$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.72 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 12c | 577.58$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.27 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 41c | 548.1$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.11 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 478.6$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.88 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 34c | 449.41$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.61 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 36c | 386.76$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.45 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…5db9backed No | 7c | 361.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 31c | 310$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.11 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 67c | 298.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 14c | 269.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 16c | 268.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.05 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 20c | 251.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 10c | 201.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.93 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 34c | 199.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 15c | 173.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.71 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 18c | 167.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.9 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 20c | 151.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.09 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b9…a7afbacked Yes | 19c | 131.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 9c | 128$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 18c | 112.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 50c | 111.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 18c | 95.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 80.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7477…a7a8backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 50.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 33c | 50.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 35c | 49.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 47c | 41.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 65c | 38.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 32c | 33.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 64c | 31.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 68c | 25.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9089…aafebacked No | 64c | 23.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 65c | 21.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 65c | 21.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 65c | 16.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 63c | 16.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Moreirense FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.