Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Brøndby IF vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08212b0eac7685528172a21be2f4b5e7aaeb004eea0dc1d3ddb37e13b4d9eb63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 51c | 901.23$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.27 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f7…ef5bbacked Yes | 63c | 822.78$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed No | 74c | 604.71$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 33c | 508.09$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.09 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 38c | 360.59$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.91 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…1837backed Yes | 25c | 349.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 73c | 299.97$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.18 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 36c | 278.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.83 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 74c | 276.05$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.28 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 250.36$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 64c | 218.13$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.61 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 70c | 142.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Yes | 50c | 73.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 45c | 67.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 36c | 65.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 67c | 65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 79cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 29c | 58.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1159…6228backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 50.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 74c | 42.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Yes | 26c | 41.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Yes | 40c | 38.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 35.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 33.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 69c | 30.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 27.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed No | 79c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 77c | 18.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 79c | 14.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brøndby IF vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw?this page
- Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-05-01?No won
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-05-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.