Mls · resolved market
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2c1093e17f21097f5d3503b9f29943996c6c448bfcc09c6f1d8b553937dea3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 5c | 6,273$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.64 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed No | 55c | 3,564$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 45c | 3,380$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 66c | 2,594$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.62 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 1,175$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.39 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 55c | 1,170$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.18 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 40c | 1,074$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.6 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 76c | 970.87$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.34 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 45c | 832.78$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.03 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 64c | 645.51$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.71 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 26c | 540.69$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.17 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 69c | 503.98$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.76 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 24c | 479.25$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.23 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 58c | 395.5$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.22 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 28c | 349.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 65c | 343.48$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.13 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 302.07$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.81 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 55c | 257.64$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 70c | 223.94$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.76 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Yes | 34c | 215.81$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.22 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 23c | 199.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 31c | 161.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.57 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 60c | 153.68$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…c6bdbacked No | 33c | 152$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 13c | 138.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 137.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 131.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.93 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 46c | 123.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.03 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 55c | 119.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 47c | 118.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 54c | 111.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 48c | 105.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 68c | 105$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 65c | 98.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 60c | 91.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 32c | 89.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 47c | 89.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 71c | 77.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 52c | 73.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 24c | 73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 52c | 57.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 35c | 57.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…bdb5backed Yes | 76c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 62c | 54.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked No | 51c | 54.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1c…ab7abacked Yes | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 69c | 49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 53c | 43.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed No | 70c | 35.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -16.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed No | 74c | 35.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +9.3wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 32c | 34.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 33.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked Yes | 47c | 33.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed No | 40c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0f…6906backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 33c | 30.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf66b…7a69backed Yes | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 76c | 25.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Yes | 78c | 23.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…87e2backed Yes | 46c | 23.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 57c | 21.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…952dbacked Yes | 70c | 21.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 72cpaid | -37%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 75c | 20.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 72c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 76c | 16.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 63c | 16.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked No | 70c | 15.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Atlanta United FC vs. CF Montréal end in a draw?No won
- Will CF Montréal win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.