Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax vs. PSV end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29459d0a25c03df9a4e0eeabe997f56024ee9c62c8094cc8bb6e23db03339c4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 8,165$5,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,558.13 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes | 33c | 6,747$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,519.65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 32c | 6,704$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.02 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 4,481$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.93 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 33c | 2,697$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.76 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 66c | 2,194$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.03 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 63c | 1,909$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.75 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb30d…5cf1backed Yes | 44c | 1,125$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.92 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 67c | 886.31$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.22 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 68c | 827.4$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.63 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 60c | 715.78$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.24 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 32c | 704.73$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 59c | 583.18$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.31 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Yes | 33c | 578.09$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 38c | 534.21$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.21 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ba…267abacked No | 62c | 528.77$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 25c | 458.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.01 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 458.81$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.7 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 77c | 407.8$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.01 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 40c | 328.54$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2cabbacked Yes | 33c | 303.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked No | 51c | 294.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 61c | 292$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.47 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 38c | 291.71$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.11 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 56c | 276.14$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.54 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed No | 41c | 268.53$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.43 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 24c | 261.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.55 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Yes | 50c | 239.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 201.27$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.23 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 180.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.55 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 22c | 179.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.59 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 23c | 152.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 23c | 126.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 68c | 107.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 104.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…bfdabacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…f954backed Yes | 13c | 103.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +99%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 27c | 102.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 63c | 97.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e80…c709backed Yes | 27c | 92.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 76c | 87.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…7b41backed Yes | 32c | 73.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 69c | 72.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 52c | 70.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a4…31eebacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…d702backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed No | 58c | 52.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 44c | 51.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 51.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb772…f5e8backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 56c | 49.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…2f2cbacked Yes | 24c | 44.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 76c | 41.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 68c | 39.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc431…401bbacked Yes | 31c | 38.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd76c…94edbacked Yes | 46c | 36.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 66c | 36.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked No | 63c | 35.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…6aafbacked Yes | 45c | 33.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…e7afbacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 68c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 68c | 32.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 45c | 31.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…8756backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 60c | 29.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…99dcbacked Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2318…bbbfbacked Yes | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 77c | 19.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 68c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax vs. PSV end in a draw?this page
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will PSV win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.