MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3737908cb302c7ec9be8345541efd1cc279cf803ebd76b496e209f1c27c4269e

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $351,794
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $352,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,794 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under	46c	320,545$148,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148,175.19	436	47%205 W · 231 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over	54c	100,000$53,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,500	856	45.3%388 W · 468 L	+18.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	54c	72,647$38,932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,714.63	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe593…cc7dbacked Over	54c	49,001$26,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,540.62	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over	54c	40,000$21,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,400	1,292	50.2%648 W · 644 L	+18.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over	53c	18,888$10,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,877.36	84	64.3%54 W · 30 L	+8.7wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	54c	12,180$6,617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,562.38	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over	55c	6,000$3,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,700	217	48.4%105 W · 112 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under	4c	4,356$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.11	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.22per pick	5cpaid	+545.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8963…c780backed Under	5c	4,000$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	20	15%3 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	5cpaid	+288.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over	55c	2,667$1,478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,189.14	328	57.9%190 W · 138 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over	54c	2,510$1,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,149.5	1,056	48.3%510 W · 546 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under	52c	2,416$1,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,258.24	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	54c	2,100$1,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$968.71	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	54c	2,000$1,087 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$913.33	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Over	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$899.99	249	46.2%115 W · 134 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	54c	1,897$1,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$872.72	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	47c	1,655$785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$869.83	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	54c	1,561$845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$716.22	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over	43c	1,388$594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$794.08	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over	54c	1,324$715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$609	383	53.5%205 W · 178 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18ec…8b90backed Under	1c	1,200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	54c	1,117$603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$514.11	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fe…f03dbacked Over	55c	1,100$605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	54c	1,085$586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.1	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under	45c	879.97$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.79	890	53.1%473 W · 417 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over	54c	792$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.32	300	48%144 W · 156 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	63c	743$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.98	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over	54c	741$401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.06	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over	53c	719.49$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.53	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Under	45c	578$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.1	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x276b…c0c8backed Under	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	2.3%1 W · 42 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	7cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Over	56c	499.99$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	216	53.2%115 W · 101 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over	55c	365.95$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.95	92	58.7%54 W · 38 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over	48c	308.33$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.33	880	53.8%473 W · 407 L	+41.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	51c	305.3$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.78	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over	53c	299$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.53	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a24…a0fdbacked Under	48c	250$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	37c	240.79$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.73	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over	33c	228$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.68	570	46.8%267 W · 303 L	+14.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over	54c	221.33$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.33	112	44.6%50 W · 62 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed Over	54c	194.05$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.26	76	46.1%35 W · 41 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over	55c	185$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.25	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	+25.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	54c	180$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.8	994	47.3%470 W · 524 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	54c	180$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.35	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1631…072dbacked Over	32c	168.62$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.85	773	53.9%417 W · 356 L	+35.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	62c	149.26$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.45	996	24.6%245 W · 751 L	-70.1wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over	43c	147.14$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.24	1,133	57.2%648 W · 485 L	+35.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over	54c	141$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.81	390	53.6%209 W · 181 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over	54c	129.4$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.52	781	55.6%434 W · 347 L	+28.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over	54c	108$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.68	1,001	48.3%483 W · 518 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Under	58c	100$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	211	49.3%104 W · 107 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Under	31c	99.99$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	353	41.1%145 W · 208 L	-16.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96d4…b8d0backed Over	44c	94$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.48	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	64c	90$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.2	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over	56c	89.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	162	51.9%84 W · 78 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd6…1733backed Under	46c	85.53$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.77	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x873a…160bbacked Under	47c	85$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	54c	79.71$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.67	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2534…3484backed Under	48c	69.9$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.55	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	47cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1a2…a302backed Under	56c	64.72$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b6c…28fbbacked Under	46c	64.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Over	33c	60.58$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.59	253	57.3%145 W · 108 L	+14.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Over	55c	54.98$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.74	138	53.6%74 W · 64 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under	46c	54.35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	625	54.2%339 W · 286 L	+18.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over	55c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	556	43.9%244 W · 312 L	-38.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a14…cab1backed Over	25c	42.71$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.02	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under	70c	42.13$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.62	418	36.4%152 W · 266 L	-31.6wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	55c	40.01$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over	55c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.1	827	41.1%340 W · 487 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe619…1927backed Over	68c	36.76$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.76	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	1,197	53.9%645 W · 552 L	+42.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Over	55c	36.35$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	140	57.9%81 W · 59 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	67c	36$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.18	1,843	43.6%804 W · 1,039 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b4…70eabacked Under	46c	31.55$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.51	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over	54c	30.11$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.85	1,014	47.7%484 W · 530 L	-28.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b39…315bbacked Under	42c	28.57$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf90d…9f01backed Over	53c	28.3$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.3	88	47.7%42 W · 46 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb549…ae63backed Over	55c	27.15$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.22	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef27…600fbacked Over	55c	25.38$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.42	122	60.7%74 W · 48 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a311backed Over	45c	25$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.7	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Over	54c	21.13$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.79	830	53%440 W · 390 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	70c	20.92$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.63	3,208	51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L	+146.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under	78c	16.94$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.21	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5this page
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Under won
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Over won
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event