Australian A League · resolved market
Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73b6623cd9f8c98aa50cfecd4fe1f28d5fe70d8317853a688305cc79b6cb0858
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18ec…8b90backed Under | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 73c | 4,175$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.74 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 3,862$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.27 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464a…d107backed Over | 48c | 3,752$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 52c | 1,679$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.81 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 75c | 1,100$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 25c | 999.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 27c | 822.96$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.91 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Over | 49c | 816.53$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 66c | 725.12$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.3 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 48c | 666.1$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.8 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 47c | 664.69$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 38c | 658.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.55 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…c645backed Over | 52c | 563.81$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 422.93$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Over | 27c | 370.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 30c | 330$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 74c | 276.41$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.87 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 75c | 263.55$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 45c | 222.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.44 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 54c | 203.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Under | 41c | 175.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5196…2196backed Over | 46c | 167$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 69c | 144.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 140.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 51c | 125.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Under | 52c | 105.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 40c | 102.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 26c | 99.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 72c | 55.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 60c | 53.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 66c | 43.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Under | 50c | 42.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 73c | 40.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…1cf7backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 47c | 37.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 46c | 34.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Over | 61c | 32.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 57c | 27.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 74c | 25.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 68c | 19.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)Melbourne City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.