Australian A League · resolved market
Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb90d35dab76c5923bac5b61b34e7a1cbcdf9d30ff181e51c3b5ead87b15575df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 44c | 738.25$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.33 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 454.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…dcd2backed Yes | 55c | 370.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…0942backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7639…6563backed Yes | 56c | 353.57$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 57c | 261.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 182.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…6e1ebacked Yes | 56c | 137.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 17c | 113.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.31 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 46c | 102.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Yes | 55c | 90.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 42c | 88.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516e…00afbacked No | 43c | 65.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed No | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 44c | 35.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes | 56c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…73f5backed No | 45c | 33.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)Melbourne City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.