Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed4c36e77183084eafeb9e9633c85bb6709f848082b075f7094f2a449d6bcb17

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Eternal Fireof Team Liquid, Eternal Fire
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $12,280
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $13,435

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,280 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xaf48…36c2backed Team Liquid	43c	1,279$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.97	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-4.3wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Eternal Fire	57c	1,244$709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$534.89	639	55.6%355 W · 284 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid	29c	826.28$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.25	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Eternal Fire	70c	523.41$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.24	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Team Liquid	9c	513$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.65	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Eternal Fire	69c	483.98$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.03	210	55.2%116 W · 94 L	+10.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Eternal Fire	71c	478.26$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.36	785	62.8%493 W · 292 L	+56.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Liquid	29c	384.66$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.55	517	49.5%256 W · 261 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked Eternal Fire	72c	342.43$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.57	128	56.3%72 W · 56 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4419…fcf4backed Eternal Fire	68c	336.5$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.92	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Liquid	29c	325$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.85	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1af1…8bd4backed Team Liquid	32c	310$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.07	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Liquid	19c	290.15$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.57	407	31.7%129 W · 278 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Eternal Fire	49c	237.11$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.93	186	41.4%77 W · 109 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Team Liquid	34c	234.54$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.64	396	46%182 W · 214 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Eternal Fire	69c	216$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.96	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid	11c	215.41$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.05	409	45.7%187 W · 222 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Team Liquid	31c	210.17$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.1	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x260f…6980backed Team Liquid	7c	201.63$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	55	32.7%18 W · 37 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed Team Liquid	32c	197$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.04	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Eternal Fire	77c	196$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	196	56.6%111 W · 85 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Team Liquid	51c	182.11$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.88	634	47.9%304 W · 330 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid	31c	181.71$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.31	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Team Liquid	28c	173.42$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.56	108	42.6%46 W · 62 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe896…a4c7backed Eternal Fire	70c	167.14$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.14	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-5.7wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Eternal Fire	72c	160$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.69	1,247	49.6%619 W · 628 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32d8…4cf8backed Team Liquid	30c	147.82$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a80…df6dbacked Eternal Fire	78c	128.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.21	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.8wins	-0.20per pick	56cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe865…ae26backed Team Liquid	29c	126.29$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.08	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-3.9wins	-0.30per pick	38cpaid	-85.1%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Team Liquid	16c	125.01$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	520	50%260 W · 260 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed Eternal Fire	69c	120.68$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.41	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Team Liquid	25c	116$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.58	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0420…58bbbacked Team Liquid	33c	114.41$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.62	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed Eternal Fire	68c	103.19$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.02	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	64cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Liquid	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	553	48.3%267 W · 286 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Liquid	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	796	50%398 W · 398 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Liquid	45c	97.74$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.54	344	43.3%149 W · 195 L	-14.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed Team Liquid	31c	96.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-8.4wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked Eternal Fire	71c	87.32$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.32	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed Team Liquid	31c	83.9$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.01	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Eternal Fire	52c	81.06$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.91	89	51.7%46 W · 43 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Eternal Fire	63c	79.63$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.63	110	42.7%47 W · 63 L	-7.9wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6be…0968backed Team Liquid	32c	79.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.44	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff95…859cbacked Eternal Fire	70c	72.94$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.73	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc638…42cfbacked Team Liquid	32c	71.88$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc6d…c782backed Eternal Fire	58c	58.1$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Team Liquid	23c	57$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.11	211	53.6%113 W · 98 L	+10.1wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Team Liquid	31c	53.85$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.73	962	45.1%434 W · 528 L	-18.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Liquid	30c	53.27$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.91	207	55.6%115 W · 92 L	+8.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Team Liquid	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	666	50.8%338 W · 328 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ee…0439backed Team Liquid	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed Eternal Fire	53c	47.74$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.44	17	82.4%14 W · 3 L	+3.8wins	+0.22per pick	60cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Eternal Fire	71c	43$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.47	998	46%459 W · 539 L	-27.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Eternal Fire	67c	40$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Eternal Fire	66c	37.5$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.62	931	48.1%448 W · 483 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed Eternal Fire	69c	34.78$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.78	40	55%22 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4548…e4b5backed Team Liquid	42c	29.92$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.57	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.32per pick	46cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Eternal Fire	78c	29$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	59	67.8%40 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…4349backed Eternal Fire	71c	28.17$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.8wins	+0.35per pick	53cpaid	+129.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3637…21a4backed Team Liquid	48c	28$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.44	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-25%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed Eternal Fire	56c	26.33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.56	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Eternal Fire	58c	26.31$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.05	547	51.2%280 W · 267 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Eternal Fire	69c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.75	653	47.3%309 W · 344 L	-18.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed Eternal Fire	69c	14.68$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.55	152	55.9%85 W · 67 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Eternal Fire won
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)Eternal Fire won
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaEternal Fire won
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event