CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f69058a515334fb3d9405e42af3216a18137ef0c9d45c3dcd87c959a421104f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BORRACHEIROSof ALKA, BORRACHEIROS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc33…eb35backed ALKA | 39c | 985.98$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed BORRACHEIROS | 51c | 781.98$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.78 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed BORRACHEIROS | 77c | 769.23$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.42 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BORRACHEIROS | 72c | 641.12$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.09 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ALKA | 31c | 464.36$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.91 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked ALKA | 24c | 430$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed BORRACHEIROS | 76c | 338.91$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked ALKA | 37c | 322$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed BORRACHEIROS | 60c | 316.26$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed BORRACHEIROS | 43c | 308.77$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed ALKA | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed ALKA | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed BORRACHEIROS | 43c | 287.44$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.29 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed ALKA | 57c | 267.44$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.69 | 480 | 40%192 W · 288 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked BORRACHEIROS | 76c | 263.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 94 | 61.7%58 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a9…5862backed ALKA | 41c | 258.38$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.11 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ALKA | 42c | 257.58$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ALKA | 38c | 222.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.57 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BORRACHEIROS | 52c | 191.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed ALKA | 61c | 174.75$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed BORRACHEIROS | 38c | 148.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.33 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4e…abebbacked BORRACHEIROS | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e09…22febacked BORRACHEIROS | 68c | 85.66$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed ALKA | 36c | 84.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 620 | 48.2%299 W · 321 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BORRACHEIROS | 59c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed ALKA | 62c | 80.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed BORRACHEIROS | 45c | 78.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 414 | 39.1%162 W · 252 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe865…ae26backed ALKA | 49c | 77.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0420…58bbbacked ALKA | 49c | 77.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed BORRACHEIROS | 63c | 69.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 361 | 46.8%169 W · 192 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked BORRACHEIROS | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed ALKA | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 690 | 41.9%289 W · 401 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked BORRACHEIROS | 39c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d8…c931backed BORRACHEIROS | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked ALKA | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed BORRACHEIROS | 77c | 18.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ALKA | 60c | 18.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group StageALKA won
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 2 WinnerALKA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: ALKA (-1.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+1.5)BORRACHEIROS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.