Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a6c92c9d11269991a8db297fc0f7cdfb3e64b858aa326d4ae2c2303a5d95226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 46c | 4,422$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.14 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 4,290$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.86 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.92 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 3,795$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.49 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 71c | 3,682$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.02 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 57c | 2,063$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.91 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked No | 26c | 1,908$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked No | 27c | 944.73$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.52 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 41c | 897.65$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.72 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 56c | 750$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 72c | 604.75$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.4 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 58c | 599.97$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.98 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…992cbacked No | 57c | 583.11$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.37 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 66cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 57c | 580.3$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.71 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 16c | 519.42$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.69 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 45c | 514.51$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.8 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 51c | 507$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.31 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…d3eebacked Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 42c | 443.56$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.24 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 44c | 421$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.76 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 59c | 408.89$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.25 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Yes | 70c | 361.94$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.58 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked No | 57c | 351.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 26c | 299.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…814cbacked Yes | 44c | 270.45$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Yes | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 24c | 248.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…e025backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 68c | 220.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 56c | 211.76$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.35 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 180.14$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 44c | 178.12$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…fab4backed No | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…aebabacked Yes | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 55c | 119.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 55c | 99.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 51c | 97.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed No | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9a…336bbacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…5185backed Yes | 72c | 79.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 55c | 78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…9192backed Yes | 70c | 59.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 28c | 54.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…a400backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 63c | 44.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 42c | 42.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5325…c0b5backed No | 57c | 42.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 59c | 38.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 54c | 37.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 65c | 35.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…0399backed No | 56c | 29.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58c…5fc5backed No | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…fd20backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 59c | 23.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4b…9f51backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 77c | 18.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 69c | 18.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 72c | 14.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-02-01?No won
- Will Heracles Almelo vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.