Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d148588eeb1caa50863b0642f92435971ffd4466db18c4d3a3c76a00f58cc5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 20c | 8,047$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 7,149$5,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.94 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…8c2bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,295$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 3,668$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.92 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 32c | 3,142$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.73 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 72c | 2,075$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 29c | 1,719$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.51 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 1,604$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.01 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 1,574$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.36 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 30c | 1,515$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.55 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…895bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,054$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 29c | 1,037$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 71c | 1,002$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.42 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 68c | 999.98$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.99 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…992cbacked No | 67c | 656.72$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.72 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 66cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 67c | 639.8$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.14 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 66c | 377.72$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.42 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 28c | 349.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 309.82$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.43 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 67c | 303.03$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 31c | 300$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 32c | 289$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 31c | 280.32$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 70c | 265.95$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 28c | 258.78$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 21c | 233.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 30c | 223.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…0d10backed Yes | 29c | 207.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 67c | 177.72$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 30c | 164$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 28c | 147.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 32c | 128.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 29c | 112.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 26c | 101.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 12c | 91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Yes | 31c | 85.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 71c | 81.03$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 29c | 77.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 30c | 76.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc05b…2663backed Yes | 28c | 72.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf4…e221backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e65…d9f0backed No | 67c | 69.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 32c | 63.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…9ea8backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…7fc8backed Yes | 31c | 50.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 25c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe871…10f0backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 66c | 43.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 33c | 39.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 33c | 35.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked Yes | 31c | 33.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a39…bf2abacked No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 68c | 16.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 72c | 15.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will Heracles Almelo vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?No won
- Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-02-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.