Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3936bd8a002df37806ea3b7b773d9547c5289575fad758d921ac960bd3190e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 77c | 3,104$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.42 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…66f9backed No | 6c | 2,695$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.64 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 23c | 2,481$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.68 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb25…2fdebacked Yes | 79c | 2,416$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed No | 11c | 2,246$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.68 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 70c | 2,123$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.34 | 330 | 18.8%62 W · 268 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 25c | 1,649$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.49 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e84…659dbacked No | 27c | 1,281$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.67 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 73c | 1,121$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.72 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 9c | 1,117$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 15c | 1,110$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.01 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf229…d5f7backed Yes | 78c | 908.49$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.88 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 16c | 877.44$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.23 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…b286backed Yes | 69c | 854.57$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.23 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 26c | 795.52$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…dc40backed No | 22c | 757.36$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.35 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 16c | 714.21$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed No | 13c | 688.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…0e27backed Yes | 64c | 564.13$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.04 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 75c | 556.07$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.63 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e43…2e9cbacked No | 11c | 555.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fec…9d17backed Yes | 73c | 533.14$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.94 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed Yes | 53c | 524$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.6 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51a5…a647backed No | 24c | 481$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…c916backed Yes | 79c | 480.7$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 442.94$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…237cbacked Yes | 77c | 408.84$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…8c67backed No | 20c | 393.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed No | 9c | 327.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 135 | 14.8%20 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 66c | 325.52$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.59 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed No | 16c | 305$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 78c | 300.73$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 20c | 299.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…51b4backed Yes | 69c | 299.31$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 69c | 280.24$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.41 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed No | 34c | 273.29$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 64c | 272.3$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.88 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked No | 23c | 264.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…8daabacked No | 17c | 262.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb5…e19cbacked No | 21c | 257.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 70c | 255.8$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 59c | 252.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a773backed No | 33c | 247.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked No | 32c | 243.35$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.37 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed No | 13c | 242.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…ca83backed No | 45c | 223.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…a796backed Yes | 55c | 222.39$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…f467backed No | 15c | 219.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ca…c4f0backed No | 17c | 219.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa17…aa48backed No | 13c | 209.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…8cf5backed Yes | 75c | 200.57$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 18c | 198.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…9c56backed Yes | 66c | 196.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…d405backed No | 24c | 193.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed No | 25c | 192.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 23c | 189.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d7…3ed2backed No | 12c | 185.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…5a5bbacked No | 36c | 184.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -11.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed No | 18c | 168.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…31a3backed Yes | 74c | 166$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba1…ac85backed No | 20c | 164.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…c072backed Yes | 71c | 160.46$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3a…0d98backed Yes | 64c | 150.89$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4f…cde1backed No | 34c | 140.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…91d5backed Yes | 79c | 137.68$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…0e79backed Yes | 79c | 136.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 56c | 136.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…7588backed No | 27c | 136.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5c…ef7fbacked No | 22c | 132.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 123 | 65%80 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 8c | 129$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 726 | 24.8%180 W · 546 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…95b1backed No | 14c | 122.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b4…847ebacked Yes | 75c | 118.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd87…5eb3backed Yes | 77c | 114.62$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 63c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc967…91d5backed Yes | 67c | 108.73$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Yes | 69c | 108.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7598…b1c2backed Yes | 64c | 107.62$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff9…a21abacked No | 26c | 105.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…669ebacked Yes | 66c | 102.45$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 66 | 10.6%7 W · 59 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa479…ef6bbacked No | 50c | 99.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 20c | 97.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…76bebacked Yes | 74c | 97.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 33c | 95.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65df…6144backed Yes | 53c | 93.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 33c | 89.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…fab1backed Yes | 80c | 86.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 29c | 85.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 37c | 80.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…9d0abacked Yes | 65c | 76.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x715e…ee36backed No | 34c | 74.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…b989backed No | 24c | 74.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…70e3backed Yes | 70c | 74.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…4b4dbacked No | 42c | 73.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 36c | 71.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.