Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40e723c4afe2ba4297cfa577c2da064f3a4d8e9961cc318285ad877f0e0e5d5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Yes | 1c | 10,396$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…66f9backed Yes | 3c | 6,401$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.69 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x297c…0f89backed Yes | 1c | 4,902$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 20c | 3,468$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.57 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 21c | 1,153$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.23 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 1c | 1,136$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7213…0f5bbacked Yes | 2c | 931.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 7c | 824.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 14c | 711.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 5c | 684.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 7c | 669.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 71c | 651.79$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.02 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 10c | 560.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 518$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 451.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 11c | 414.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes | 14c | 399.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 11c | 394.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 34c | 393.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.91 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…308bbacked Yes | 20c | 388.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 20c | 365.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.44 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 11c | 349.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…1a73backed Yes | 9c | 346.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 186 | 68.8%128 W · 58 L | +27.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 17c | 330.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 10c | 329.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 11c | 318.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ca…c4f0backed Yes | 9c | 310.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd391…093fbacked Yes | 5c | 295.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 17c | 271.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x001f…fdbbbacked Yes | 29c | 253.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 13c | 249.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 10c | 244.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 4c | 240.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8de…614dbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…8c67backed Yes | 11c | 192.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 13c | 188.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…4883backed Yes | 11c | 185.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…c500backed Yes | 11c | 182.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 15c | 182.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa17…aa48backed Yes | 16c | 175.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 8c | 173.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 17c | 170.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 72c | 166.25$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a5…a647backed Yes | 15c | 161.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…ed07backed Yes | 9c | 152$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3862…aa32backed Yes | 12c | 144.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fb…ae7bbacked Yes | 12c | 138.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ae…890cbacked Yes | 16c | 131.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 11c | 121$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…3554backed Yes | 19c | 112.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4639…78b8backed Yes | 10c | 108.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…7e87backed Yes | 10c | 105.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 13c | 102.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 263 | 27.8%73 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed Yes | 17c | 99.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…9aeebacked Yes | 29c | 99.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1535…d77bbacked Yes | 16c | 99.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…89f5backed Yes | 19c | 95.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe508…5885backed Yes | 28c | 88.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Yes | 15c | 88.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c1…ad0ebacked Yes | 35c | 80.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 67c | 77.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…af19backed Yes | 18c | 73.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…88f6backed Yes | 14c | 73.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 16c | 71.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 22c | 67.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 66c | 61.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…4b4dbacked Yes | 23c | 50.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…c493backed No | 70c | 48.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked No | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1843…affabacked Yes | 54c | 34.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 32c | 32.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a48…3e67backed No | 77c | 29.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed No | 68c | 28.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 74c | 24.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed No | 44c | 22.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…e7a0backed No | 64c | 22.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 389 | 61.7%240 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 75c | 19.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…071ebacked No | 64c | 16.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.