Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35353e8a66379914c52eb2505daaadbb5e78faca7ae42a2d48002fc2c7ce94d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 28c | 4,760$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5110…8f40backed Yes | 31c | 1,293$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed No | 62c | 973.65$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.04 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…bab5backed Yes | 42c | 911.19$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 67c | 776.44$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.91 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 74c | 748$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 366.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 35c | 357$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.03 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x097b…19c1backed Yes | 38c | 353.66$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 66c | 324.14$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 73c | 319.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 29c | 308.5$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 70c | 299.61$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fa…866dbacked Yes | 27c | 268.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed Yes | 46c | 264$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 73c | 255.49$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.32 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 66c | 248.11$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee94…404dbacked No | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 29c | 199.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed No | 74c | 178.91$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 66c | 160$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…8fa1backed Yes | 32c | 156$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 59c | 144$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 31c | 141.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 234 | 30.3%71 W · 163 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 133.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 63c | 132$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 38c | 130.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…2ad3backed Yes | 25c | 124.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 71c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 62c | 117.54$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 314 | 18.5%58 W · 256 L | -30.3wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 71c | 95.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc1…6113backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f0…78babacked Yes | 30c | 91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 70c | 87.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 63c | 84.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 28c | 69.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 72c | 52.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 36c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 36c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…466abacked Yes | 38c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 63c | 46.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef0…e28ebacked No | 71c | 45.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 28c | 44.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b30…100fbacked No | 63c | 41.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef9…8f58backed Yes | 31c | 40.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…cdddbacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2d…8147backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…ece8backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…38e2backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 63c | 37.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 38c | 37.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…dd8ebacked No | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 47c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf389…c39ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 59c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 74c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aa7abacked No | 63c | 26.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked No | 70c | 20.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…1d98backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ee…bdffbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf258…76c5backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x257b…d288backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1583…bddebacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…8177backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…f580backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…582bbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cc…2963backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8478…d8a1backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…aa50backed No | 73c | 17.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 68c | 16.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…5da2backed No | 70c | 16.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?this page
- Will Core PCE MoM be 0.0% in July?No won
- Will Core PCE MoM be 0.1% in July?No won
- Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?Yes won
- Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% or more in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.