Lol · resolved market
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Swiss Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50acf4ece1a4a743e5f05fda078721d83068bcce0d4b2cb56eb3611c75adb06b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Secret Whalesof Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming, Team Secret Whales
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 11c | 1,729$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.89 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…122fbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 8c | 1,241$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9741…5149backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 9c | 1,122$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 1,114$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 1,062$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Team Secret Whales | 76c | 889.04$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.37 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Secret Whales | 79c | 777.37$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.25 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…d989backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 20c | 760.95$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 27cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 640.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.67 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 14c | 580$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 24c | 501$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed Team Secret Whales | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 22c | 342.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 320$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 6c | 289.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…dcc2backed Team Secret Whales | 80c | 285$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 222 | 38.7%86 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 265.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…a754backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 19c | 264.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 353 | 23.2%82 W · 271 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 7c | 249.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 6c | 248.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 22c | 240$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…fc9bbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 197.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…6dc9backed Team Secret Whales | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 12c | 182.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 177$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 23c | 140$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 139.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 23c | 135$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 539 | 32.5%175 W · 364 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 8c | 135$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 127.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 494 | 61.3%303 W · 191 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Team Secret Whales | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 465 | 60%279 W · 186 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Team Secret Whales | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f8…2560backed Team Secret Whales | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 376 | 60.9%229 W · 147 L | -28.1wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5c…2ba2backed Team Secret Whales | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 262 | 63.4%166 W · 96 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Secret Whales | 77c | 120.59$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 116.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…9b77backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 113.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 26c | 113$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…2960backed Team Secret Whales | 79c | 108.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 164 | 44.5%73 W · 91 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Team Secret Whales | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Team Secret Whales | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 525 | 43.8%230 W · 295 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…86c0backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 95.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d24…cf3fbacked Team Secret Whales | 79c | 88.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b8…0469backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 88.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 22c | 81.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…f1e2backed Team Secret Whales | 72c | 77.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 24c | 70.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87e…cbc2backed Team Secret Whales | 74c | 62.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c7…38bebacked Team Secret Whales | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…52d2backed Team Secret Whales | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 346 | 67.6%234 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 27c | 51.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3d…fd2ebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 36.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…36c0backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 478 | 54%258 W · 220 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4293…dbe3backed Team Secret Whales | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0b…69a6backed Team Secret Whales | 80c | 23.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 76 | 73.7%56 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Team Secret Whales | 79c | 21.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked Team Secret Whales | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 232 | 64.2%149 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked Team Secret Whales | 72c | 16.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Team Secret Whales | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9560…b831backed Team Secret Whales | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Swiss Stagethis page
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5)Team Secret Whales won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.