Lol · resolved market
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0600f9819b8401999501751415b91e4719b4d16d47ee6696caf3372f1cdeb486
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Secret Whalesof Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming, Team Secret Whales
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 2,446$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.9 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 27c | 1,750$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.61 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 15c | 1,744$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.14 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 2c | 1,700$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Secret Whales | 79c | 1,617$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.53 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 17c | 1,242$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.98 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 22c | 1,200$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Team Secret Whales | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Team Secret Whales | 80c | 875$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 749$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.78 | 547 | 56.9%311 W · 236 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Secret Whales | 79c | 632.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 252 | 56.3%142 W · 110 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Team Secret Whales | 79c | 632.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 624$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 595.24$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Secret Whales | 77c | 543.23$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.83 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Secret Whales | 77c | 537.42$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.61 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Team Secret Whales | 80c | 477$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 588 | 50.5%297 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Secret Whales | 77c | 471$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 22c | 454.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Team Secret Whales | 73c | 452.05$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.05 | 509 | 56.2%286 W · 223 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 34c | 403.03$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.03 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…bb76backed Team Secret Whales | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Team Secret Whales | 78c | 345$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.02 | 428 | 51.2%219 W · 209 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 23c | 340.9$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…7514backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 15c | 335.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 355 | 33.5%119 W · 236 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 551 | 10.3%57 W · 494 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Secret Whales | 72c | 263.5$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 19c | 260$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 7c | 240.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 634 | 26%165 W · 469 L | -90.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Team Secret Whales | 79c | 228$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 227.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 22c | 220.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 214.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 209.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 331 | 39.9%132 W · 199 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Secret Whales | 79c | 205.98$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…aeb7backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cf…c8b9backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 22c | 177.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 179 | 39.1%70 W · 109 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 23c | 174.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 24c | 169.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 567 | 44.8%254 W · 313 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…bfd1backed Team Secret Whales | 80c | 150.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 379 | 57.5%218 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed Team Secret Whales | 70c | 142.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 777 | 46.2%359 W · 418 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 19c | 137.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…b613backed Team Secret Whales | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 256 | 60.5%155 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 129.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Secret Whales | 77c | 93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 20c | 92.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 124 | 30.6%38 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Secret Whales | 75c | 57.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 23c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 29c | 51.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 28c | 41.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Team Secret Whales | 73c | 39.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ae…6584backed Team Secret Whales | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 265 | 61.1%162 W · 103 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…1e14backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 20.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Team Secret Whales | 79c | 14.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5)Team Secret Whales won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Swiss StageTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.