Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c80c9656d049e2b3c5df0405165885b1bea5d2dacee7822a7310c6bdee71929
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc393…66f9backed No | 38c | 1,724$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.4 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf229…d5f7backed Yes | 50c | 1,404$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.8 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…c916backed Yes | 52c | 1,253$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…b286backed Yes | 49c | 1,210$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.35 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…2959backed No | 61c | 1,030$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.41 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed No | 8c | 837.74$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 8c | 797.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef6a…18e8backed No | 52c | 779.46$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.81 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes | 62c | 750.35$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.67 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 46c | 728.11$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.79 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 51c | 699.99$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 50c | 699.56$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.03 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 64c | 674.64$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.04 | 330 | 18.8%62 W · 268 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 41c | 535$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.82 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…51b4backed Yes | 49c | 499.09$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 482.83$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 45c | 356.12$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.28 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed No | 54c | 355.76$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.41 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3a…0d98backed No | 59c | 342.51$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51a5…a647backed No | 56c | 317.98$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.22 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d7…3ed2backed Yes | 44c | 312.07$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 43c | 307.76$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.98 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed No | 77c | 307.1$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.98 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 51c | 300.97$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.18 | 190 | 60.5%115 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 58c | 300.92$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.41 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…b1b1backed Yes | 33c | 287.95$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 42c | 287.74$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.89 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 54c | 273.58$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.76 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…5a5bbacked No | 52c | 272.24$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.57 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -11.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 45c | 265.16$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.96 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 43c | 252.25$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.61 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 48c | 240.95$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.04 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 45c | 223.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 42c | 215.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.59 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 35c | 214.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf7…36d6backed Yes | 47c | 207.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.35 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8de…614dbacked Yes | 39c | 203.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 32c | 193.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.28 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3deb…a08bbacked Yes | 51c | 177.44$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 66c | 175.45$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.08 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343f…bb4dbacked Yes | 44c | 169.19$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.96 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd802…d766backed No | 76c | 167.39$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.94 | 306 | 64.1%196 W · 110 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed5…ee90backed Yes | 48c | 161.46$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…91d5backed Yes | 47c | 159$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 40c | 156.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.68 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed Yes | 48c | 150.05$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.94 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…5c41backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7598…b1c2backed Yes | 44c | 148.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Yes | 52c | 148.13$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.76 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 66c | 145.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed No | 37c | 141.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 48c | 138.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91a3…c648backed No | 49c | 132.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc967…91d5backed Yes | 54c | 131.1$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 39c | 128.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 48c | 125.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 58c | 124.39$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 49c | 123.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed No | 59c | 123.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…00ecbacked No | 58c | 122.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 48c | 116$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…4c6dbacked No | 56c | 114.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…d405backed No | 42c | 111.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a2…4240backed Yes | 43c | 110.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 45c | 109$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…dc40backed No | 56c | 106.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985a…7b76backed Yes | 40c | 105.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabcc…32f6backed Yes | 44c | 104.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…1801backed Yes | 47c | 102.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e43…2e9cbacked No | 57c | 101.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…be31backed No | 51c | 101.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…4417backed No | 62c | 99.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4d…57b9backed Yes | 46c | 98.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbd…b40ebacked Yes | 56c | 97.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65df…6144backed Yes | 52c | 96.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…ae14backed No | 62c | 96.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 41c | 94.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…c9a7backed Yes | 51c | 93.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…5447backed Yes | 50c | 92.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +263.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fec…9d17backed Yes | 54c | 91.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…89f5backed Yes | 44c | 91.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e4…e43bbacked Yes | 47c | 90.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…ca83backed No | 53c | 90.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…57bfbacked Yes | 53c | 89.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 56c | 89.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb5…e19cbacked No | 62c | 87.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 32c | 87.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x404d…1ba7backed Yes | 38c | 87.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3887…9496backed No | 57c | 86.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 243 | 70%170 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…a49abacked Yes | 56c | 86.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +41%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Yes | 38c | 86.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or below on April 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.