Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd345608c50d34303f7238c5c8c7685c8a83fe5521de97c7ba8e76c4e53581b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GAM Esportsof GAM Esports, DetonatioN FocusMe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 35c | 1,141$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.2 | 306 | 21.2%65 W · 241 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked GAM Esports | 65c | 1,106$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.95 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked GAM Esports | 66c | 748.09$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.35 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfca7…5e0abacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 32c | 575$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 35c | 573.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed GAM Esports | 68c | 540.63$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 34c | 445.15$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.35 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed GAM Esports | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 34c | 275.86$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 34c | 260.53$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed GAM Esports | 65c | 225.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 34c | 189.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 34c | 187.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed GAM Esports | 65c | 153.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 494 | 61.3%303 W · 191 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed GAM Esports | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked GAM Esports | 67c | 92.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed GAM Esports | 69c | 52.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012b…7c42backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed GAM Esports | 66c | 27.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed GAM Esports | 64c | 25.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…d0b9backed GAM Esports | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Swiss StageGAM Esports won
- LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports - Game 1 WinnerGAM Esports won
- LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports - Game 2 WinnerGAM Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.