TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Swiss Stage

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
GAM Esportsof DetonatioN FocusMe, GAM Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,876
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,840

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,876 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd14…2267backed DetonatioN FocusMe11c1,911$206 inLost-$206.042,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe12c1,856$216 inLost-$2163438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed DetonatioN FocusMe11c1,604$183 inLost-$182.5841133.8%139 W · 272 L-28.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed DetonatioN FocusMe12c1,419$175 inLost-$175.122,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed DetonatioN FocusMe11c1,285$141 inLost-$140.673842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed DetonatioN FocusMe10c861.11$86 inLost-$86.111,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked DetonatioN FocusMe9c653.51$58 inLost-$57.7113429.1%39 W · 95 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed DetonatioN FocusMe10c500$48 inLost-$47.8536643.7%160 W · 206 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe12c416.67$50 inLost-$5036246.4%168 W · 194 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cc7…2385backed DetonatioN FocusMe5c406.69$19 inLost-$18.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe6…2faebacked DetonatioN FocusMe12c396.41$47 inLost-$47.366942%29 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2888…f1a4backed DetonatioN FocusMe12c211.24$25 inLost-$25.153932.5%175 W · 364 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72da…9b77backed DetonatioN FocusMe11c208.34$23 inLost-$22.924122%9 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x583c…86c0backed DetonatioN FocusMe11c182$20 inLost-$20.021631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed DetonatioN FocusMe11c173.8$19 inLost-$19.1279745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed DetonatioN FocusMe11c125.95$14 inLost-$13.8534448.3%166 W · 178 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0f8…6b50backed DetonatioN FocusMe12c90$11 inLost-$10.812931.8%41 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed GAM Esports79c13.95$11 inWon+$2.933246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.