Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs MIBR.LOS (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26965edbcc60fc43096df37432831498de5ef37fca43cabf952d8e743f9527ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBR.LOSof LYON, MIBR.LOS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed LYON | 70c | 5,000$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.52 | 922 | 54%498 W · 424 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed MIBR.LOS | 34c | 3,500$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.93 | 598 | 54.2%324 W · 274 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked MIBR.LOS | 30c | 3,156$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.97 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked LYON | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 353 | 53.5%189 W · 164 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked MIBR.LOS | 30c | 956.29$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.68 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c65…4f24backed LYON | 65c | 900$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MIBR.LOS | 31c | 650$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.5 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MIBR.LOS | 35c | 628.61$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.89 | 1,056 | 50.4%532 W · 524 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…bebdbacked LYON | 66c | 530.3$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 441 | 53.3%235 W · 206 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed MIBR.LOS | 53c | 523.4$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.87 | 706 | 41.5%293 W · 413 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…3fffbacked LYON | 67c | 508.3$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed LYON | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 664 | 59.8%397 W · 267 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked MIBR.LOS | 37c | 403.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.36 | 364 | 46.4%169 W · 195 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed MIBR.LOS | 33c | 398.18$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.02 | 1,117 | 48.8%545 W · 572 L | +40.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed LYON | 62c | 390.61$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.18 | 236 | 45.3%107 W · 129 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed LYON | 66c | 360.61$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked MIBR.LOS | 30c | 303.73$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.61 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed MIBR.LOS | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…c701backed MIBR.LOS | 34c | 192.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.28 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd142…5c9ebacked LYON | 67c | 180$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 259 | 42.1%109 W · 150 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2e…ee7bbacked LYON | 66c | 157.1$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…4dc8backed LYON | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 283 | 51.6%146 W · 137 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…2678backed LYON | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked LYON | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed LYON | 66c | 141.48$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed MIBR.LOS | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed MIBR.LOS | 33c | 119.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 761 | 29%221 W · 540 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked LYON | 65c | 113.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 350 | 45.1%158 W · 192 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed LYON | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked LYON | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 380 | 51.1%194 W · 186 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed LYON | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…6dc9backed LYON | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed MIBR.LOS | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed LYON | 67c | 82.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked LYON | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed MIBR.LOS | 32c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 629 | 49.9%314 W · 315 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed LYON | 54c | 73.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…b4ebbacked LYON | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked LYON | 67c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -12.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa34f…1cfabacked LYON | 72c | 58.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…8b50backed LYON | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 461 | 51.4%237 W · 224 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed MIBR.LOS | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed MIBR.LOS | 53c | 42.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed MIBR.LOS | 34c | 40.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 396 | 52%206 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed MIBR.LOS | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed LYON | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs MIBR.LOS (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: MILO (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)MIBR.LOS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group DMIBR.LOS won
- LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerMIBR.LOS won
- LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerMIBR.LOS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.