Lol · resolved market
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc792dc72e861164b2674b65a54fc9c3d90202c786559c935e551f3d0347c304a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Myth Esportsof Myth Esports, Dynasty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked Myth Esports | 45c | 627.79$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.28 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Myth Esports | 54c | 550.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.64 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dynasty | 42c | 437.83$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.18 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Dynasty | 50c | 393.17$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf28…db5dbacked Dynasty | 27c | 359.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Dynasty | 48c | 348.64$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.19 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Myth Esports | 52c | 290.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.2 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Dynasty | 12c | 279.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dynasty | 45c | 238.5$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…0529backed Myth Esports | 47c | 225.44$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.84 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Dynasty | 55c | 209.74$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 707 | 57%403 W · 304 L | +35.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Dynasty | 55c | 141.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Myth Esports | 60c | 91.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Myth Esports | 47c | 85.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dynasty | 52c | 83.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…0e78backed Myth Esports | 53c | 80.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 393 | 42.2%166 W · 227 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dynasty | 54c | 64.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…cc8abacked Myth Esports | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df8…6dd8backed Myth Esports | 47c | 62.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Myth Esports | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 312 | 42.6%133 W · 179 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…f35cbacked Dynasty | 52c | 56.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd989…dcbabacked Dynasty | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 168 | 63.7%107 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Dynasty | 53c | 40.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -63%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Dynasty | 57c | 38.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Myth Esports | 62c | 36.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…60cabacked Myth Esports | 58c | 32.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular SeasonDynasty won
- LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty - Game 2 WinnerDynasty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.