Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: DNSTY vs Barça eSports - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x963145e95919c45c475346217bc26a034fdfa5fbe264209be2659deee9c85dec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DNSTYof DNSTY, Barça eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DNSTY | 74c | 635.36$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.96 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Barça eSports | 24c | 521.21$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.37 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed Barça eSports | 34c | 168.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked DNSTY | 54c | 165.75$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…b80ebacked DNSTY | 71c | 146.73$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Barça eSports | 31c | 90.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed DNSTY | 61c | 67.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Barça eSports | 46c | 63.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Barça eSports | 46c | 50.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked DNSTY | 73c | 34.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…60cabacked Barça eSports | 52c | 26.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: DNSTY vs Barça eSports - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Valorant: DNSTY vs Barça eSports (BO5) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 PlayoffsDNSTY won
- Valorant: DNSTY vs Barça eSports - Map 1 WinnerDNSTY won
- Valorant: DNSTY vs Barça eSports - Map 2 WinnerBarça eSports won
- Valorant: DNSTY vs Barça eSports - Map 3 WinnerDNSTY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.